The GFS finally got in line with the other models and it's pissed. Now I hope the Euro and Icon is right. If the current GFS or most hurricane models verify it would be a Katrina level event in 4 days in Tampa at a time our countries ability to respond is stretched extremely thin. I'm not saying this will happen but good god, the odds are starting to get close to a coin flip. This could obliterate insurance, could drastically impact the election, impact markets, etc. This is just 1-2 runs and should not be taken literally but I'm really concerned about how unprepared people will be for what this would do during astronomical high tides. The current GFS is basically showing a 16-18' storm surge into Tampa Bay during. The EURO has been extremely consistent and although it's likely to be underdone, I do think that it is probably closer to right than the below runs. However, this is a signal that can't be ignored. 1-2 more model runs like this and every panic alarm in Florida will be going off.
How often do these nightmare scenarios play out (as shown in your images) this far in advance? Is this like a 1 in 10 or a 50/50 chance? Or worse?!?!? :covri: