The undesirable but most likely reality.

State Of Affairs said

This is true but you want the one that has the most proven track record, not the 6th option.

But yea, you’re right when you say you don’t know. It’s like the draft.

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You want the one with the proven track record, but they don't always turn out to be the best head coach. Payton wasn't the top choice for teams when we got him. Campbell wasn't the hot HC candidate when the Lions got him. And there are many other examples of that. So, the fact that you can't get your first or even second option is no reason to stick with what you have when it isn't working.