You're right, there's tons of 1st round misses, but there are still more 1st round hits than there are guys taken after that. So again, your best odds are to select an early round talent. I understand your thought, don't disagree w/ it - I've just seen enough. Neither are talented enough to carry a team, and if were going to get back to perennial winning we need someone w/ the talent and or potential to be that.