2025 NFL Draft Prospects

ELLIASJWILLIAMS said
That’s exactly how I see it.

We’re actually 5th in wins since 2006. So Loomis deserves more respect than he’s currently getting. Allen didn’t (though I was one who threw out Raiders record), but Mickey deserved as much grace as Sean.

There are two facts about our current situation.

1. We’re spoiled as fans
2. Loomis and Co haven’t
done a good job since 2017

Right coach, right QB. Loomis can take his 3rd swing at it at the end of the season.

Drew Payton was first swing and he nailed it. Allen/Carr is his second swing and so far meh.

Whats more likely though…is Allen gets a 4th year and Loomis tries to accumulate 3-5 picks in top 100 and they address their depth issues. I think when Allen got this job, the cap, dead money, and roster status probably didn’t make this a great spot. No QB, no top 10 pick, no money to remake roster.

So Loomis knows exactly the situation Allen inherited and such is the reason he defends him. Allen is a shield of sort for how badly the team was managed between 2018-2022

If you look at the draft numbers, the Saints have drafted well. They're consistently getting starters. The problem is their draft strategy and the guys they missed on, they missed badly. For example, 2.4 picks in the first three rounds per draft since 2017. That right there says they're picking less in the first three rounds than a normal pick allotment would give. I'm not gonna act like I'm some draft expert who knows who will hit and who will bust, but I spent a lot of time when I was at FS1 crunching numbers for trends and the draft numbers say rounds 1-3 are where teams can expect to find starters. The third round is about a 50% rate and the fourth round drops all the way down to 30%. The Saints trading away picks with a solid chance of success definitely hurts, even worse when they whiff.

Of those whiffs, the most notable is Davenport. Davenport cost the 1 they used to draft him and the 1 they used from the future. To then whiff is brutal. Turner is another first round miss and things are not looking good for Foskey. That is a total of three first round picks and a second round pick making no impact. That is catastrophic.

Even with that, they consistently get starters and solid contributors as long as they aren't targeting an edge rusher. Pro Bowl players are drafted league wide at a less than 10% rate, so knocking anyone for not regularly drafting Pro Bowls is like expecting someone to regularly pick the winning lottery numbers.

The biggest hole in their drafts has been attempting to address the Edge rusher position. I think they need to hyper-analyze that and change how they evaluate that position group.