I've come to the same conclusion despite trying to change my perspective after the Saints won some games down the stretch last year when Carmichael went to more play action and then Allen installed a run-first, play action scheme in the offseason. Allen's wins tend to come against mediocre or inferior teams at points in the season when the playoffs are pretty much decided, not in high-pressure, must-win situations against good teams. (Just think of the Rams game last year, which was a must win if we were going to get to the playoffs, and how that went.) We can try to deduce all kinds of reasons--including injuries--that this year's team is losing, but the overall pattern of Allen as a HC is now several years old (including his Raiders daze) and is pretty consistent.