If you look at the job openings, JAX, Chicago and the Jets are better options to a coaching candidate, if it comes down to the salary cap and the roster. So if these three teams get the best coaching candidates, then would Rizzi be an upgrade over the 4th best? This is why Rizzi will be the guy if he shows that he can generate wins.
I don’t believe Rizzi even has to generate wins. Aaron Glenn has zero wins or losses as a HC. It all comes down to familiarity and “looking beyond the results” with Loomis.