Rizzi, Rattler, '25, measured expectations

I think the reality is that we're more than likely not going to be an attractive option for the top available HC candidates. We absolutely should 100% shoot our shot and try to sell a long-term vision, but the worst thing we could do is to move on from Rizzi "just because" and settle for a longshot candidate. If we can't compete for the Ben Johnsons of this hiring cycle:
  • Keep Rizzi on a 3-year modest extension (he can't and won't command a big contract, so we can eat the last two years if it doesn't work out in '25)
  • Keep Klint Kubiak, who has done a nice job with limited resources, and avoid having three different schemes in three years
  • Upgrade over Joe Woods at DC
  • Let Carr & Rattler compete for QB1
  • Try to re-sign MVS, Chase Young, Willie Gay, Paulson Adebo to 1 or 2-year deals
  • Tender Shaheed for a high round pick, and consider letting him walk if another team signs him to a large offer sheet
  • Approach aging veteran stars about taking a pay cut, should they wish to continue playing next season (TH, DD, CJ, TM, ect)
  • Invest heavy resources into the lines on both sides of the ball, without trading away future draft assets
    • Consider seeing what you can get for Chris Olave, before another potential concussion evaporates all trade value
  • Commit to developing young players with game reps as much as reasonably possible in '25
More than likely we are destined to struggle in '25, regardless of who the coach is. In the scenario above, you have the opportunity to nearly completely turn the page for '26 if the team doesn't show signs of life under Rizzi. If we're smart with the cap and our draft assets, we'll be much more appealing to top candidates in the next hiring cycle.

I think you shoot your shot and try to get the best HC that you can. Assuming they don't think Rizzi is that guy, you make those guys say no to you. If they all do then you give the job to Rizzi.

Rizzi could end up being a very good HC if he can find the right coordinators. But, it's a highly risky move that could just as easily, or more easily, bust since he doesn't have a super power running either side of the ball and there is no indication he has amazing talent evaluation skills. He's probably a good motivator, but that's not going to be enough if he can't find/keep great coordinators and/or can't identify the right talent to upgrade our talent. We hear a lot of Dan Campbell comparisons with Rizzi. But, he doesn't have the credibility Campbell has of playing in the NFL and even Campbell struggled for a long time before all those draft picks built his talent and he found to really good to great coordinators. It will be interesting to see how well Campbell does when those coordinators take other jobs.