Good Grief! The Saints are 14 point dogs in Green Bay

By DVOA, the Packers are 3rd on offense and 8th on defense, keeping in mind that they are top 3 on offense despite Jordan Love missing a couple of games. At the same time, the Saints are 19th on offense and 20th on defense (and even worse when weighted for more recent games). The evidence is there to predict a bad loss on Monday.

Overall, the Packers are 3rd in team DVOA. We are 0-3 against teams that are currently top ten in team DVOA, and we were outscored 74-35 in those games (average differential of 13 points). Not looking good.