Week 20 Betting Thread

I looked at a number of those incentive prop bets and it looks like all the book makers have priced in those incentives, like when the market bakes in an acquisition into a stocks price.

For example, look at Mike Evans incentive props (his are the most popular because the Bucs are playing for a playoff spot, and he is playing a Lattimore-less Saints).

He needs 1 td, 5 receptions, and like 83 yards. All the book makers have made those props next to worthless, with bettors gambling on him to hit. On BetUs (which I use), his td prop is set at -200, his receptions are set at 6.5, and his yards are set at 102.5. For reference, Jamar Chase’s props (in a much friendlier offense where he is the top dog) are hardly that bad.

Even if you parlay all of Evans’ odds, you only get +139 on BetUs.