Ukraine

It's a war of attrition on all fronts and NATO is certainly in a good position. I'm highly skeptical on the US holding firm after some recent political moves. I think the rest of NATO could handle it from here if needed but the concern I have is China. The US holds much more leverage with China than Europe and if the US loses interest then China is likely extremely motivated to "help" Russia. By help, I mean support Russia to extract whatever they want from them.
I'm more worried that the US will ease sanctions than stop sending aid. The sanctions are working and if it stays like this for the year, russia may be done for.