Saints will interview Mike McCarthy in person during this week, Jan. 20-Jan. 25 [Underhill: McCarthy would have to be the current favorite]

You’re missing the point.

Fact - only approximately 6% of coaches all time have won a Super Bowl.

It is hard to do for EVERYONE.

You can’t single out a minuscule subset of coaches and say it is egregiously harder for them to do it.

I'm not, LOL. You're acting like we're using randomized data. We're not. NFL head coaches IS the data set. Within that data set we have known factors that are related to success. For example, the Saints should have known the likelihood of Allen's success before he coached one game. We can ignore this because "we don't know for sure" or we can look at what the data to date states.