I can smell what’s coming after the HC hire

It really depends on who the hire is. If its a first time coach its much easier for me. Its an unknown and anything can happen. 0-17 or 17-0. But if its an established veteran coach you know what to expect. When we hired Dennis Allen it was reasonable to expect a losing franchise that became a circus because that's exactly what he did in Oakland as HC. With McCarthy, I would expect the team to become a .500 team and occasionally make the playoffs. Rizzi only served as interim but we saw plenty of what he's capable and I would expect a team struggling but more often then not being about a .500 team to start, but he could grow and improve to become more, or regress and become less and keep the circus that Dennis Allen created in tact.
That seems to be falling into the trap of deciding whether the choice is the 'right' one. Better to put it aside.