Your assumption is that you can trade down and still get Warren. What Bowers did last year, will have GMs looking for the next “Bowers”. Warren is the best TE in the draft. He may not be there if a trade down occurs
90% of the mocks I have seen and almost all of the 100 simulators I've done have Warren going 14-25. It's a pretty safe bet he'll be there around 13-16