Ole Miss QB Jaxson Dart rising up the boards?

TribuneUK said

Beware the 'late riser' prospect. Teams can kid themselves based on need and recency bias.

Remember when Zach Wilson made a couple of combine throws that suddenly 'elevated' his stock?

The scouts of each NFL team build up their files on these prospects over a few years, refining their grades as they get closer to graduation/declaring for the draft. The concept of late risers and fallers has always felt to me to be mostly the domain of draft media creating frama* and foolish teams that don't trust their own scouting.

* Fake Drama = the draft media needs fresh stories for clicks. If they reported that most teams had pretty much finalised who they wanted and where, weeks or indeed months before draft day, where would they get their breathless updates about player X from?

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I’ve watched Dart a lot and this “late riser” in the media isn’t some con. They’re just slow and FOTM reporting always and sometimes, downright dumb. Darts throws were usually very good in college and always had good decision making. He could also go through reads.

I remember back in December wondering why he wasn’t getting more talk. Early January, I watched so many videos of his games and grew more found of him. You can check my history but about a couple of weeks prior to senior bowl I replied how much he’s growing on me as a prospect and that he’ll sneak into the first round Bo Nix style. I wouldn’t be surprised if he goes top 10.

Now being successful is a different story. He needs a QB whisperer, offensive genius to groom him and put him up for success similar to what Payton did for Bo Nix. If he goes to the Giants, Dart will be unsuccessful generally speaking. But if he goes to say the Vikings, or Saints if they get Kellen Moore he’ll start off looking better than or at least as good as Carr with much more upside. I have a feeling the Raiders may also be a good spot for him.

And yes. He’s already a much better QB than Sanders will ever be. Sanders before the 3rd round is a dang crime. One akin to being about as dumb as hiring Dennis Allen to a 2nd head coaching gig.