Kellen Moore expected to be Saints coach [Feb 11: Hire should be finalized today per Rapoport]

Statistically speakingy here’ the #’s.

7 new coaches hired in 2021 only 2 remain, Sirianni and Campbell. In 2020 it was 5, only Stefanski remains. In 2022 it was 10 and only 4 remain. Statistically speaking only 2 will be still employed in 3 years.



From 2020-2022, (22) coaches were hired. Only 7 coaches remain. Thats a 32% chance of hitting , 68% chance you get it wrong.



2025, 7 new head coaches, likely two will remain, possibly 3. Vrabel and Carrol are rehashes, gotta consider them favorites to still be employed based on history so that means only one of the new guys is likely to stick.

And, sometimes best situation means nothing.

Staley was voted as HC w/ best situation when he was hired by Chargers. It didn’t do diddly squat for him.

That means Ben Johnson isn’t a lock just because he picked best situation or is Moore in a worst situation for coming here.
Thanks for that research work EJW. Nice work. That’s really interesting.