Ashton Jeanty or Tyler Warren?

And this is why film gets watched…to get an assessment of his abilities and what he’s looking like and what special things he’s doing when getting yards. Just like every other position, highly decorated and statistically elite players sometimes bust.

It’s hard to project how a player’s skill level and motivation level will translate to the NFL, and it just as hard to project how the players’ skill sets will project into the specific team environment and system he gets drafted into.

Any argument I make for Jeanty going top 10 is centered on the idea that the scouts and experts have his evaluation correct. Sometimes, most of the time even, they don’t, regardless of position.

The thing is that we don't know what the actual scouts and actual experts think about Jeanty. We just know what the "draft experts" think. We will get a better idea of what the scouts and teams think of him as the draft gets closer and reporters talk to scouts and teams that have made their final evaluations and started stacking their boards.

Maybe he is elite. I don't really know because it's hard to tell how good he really is when he's a guy that counts on breaking a lot of tackles but is doing it against lower level competition. And very few backs end up being great in the NFL based on tackle breaking ability alone. So, he is going to need to show he has quickness that I'm not sure he has.