Ross Jackson’s biggest takeaways from Loomis, Moore and Ireland at the combine

StudioSaint said

I see people assign percentage chances like this and am always curious how they arrived at the percentages they did.

Would you mind sharing your calculations that lead to the Saints having a 10-25% chance of winning 10 games?

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Derek Carr has played 10 seasons in the NFL. In two of these seasons, Derek Carr has had 10 or more wins. This would give a team with Derek Carr a 20% chance of having 10 wins or more any given season.

I understand that there’s more to a team than the QB, but the entire story of Derek Carr’s career has been consistent mediocrity in both play and results, that someone or something else takes the fall for. History isn’t everything, but without history, we can never learn anything. We might as well draft Ewers and say he’ll be equal to Derek if past preformance didn’t matter