So, IF Arch plays like everyone thinks he will, and he does decide to come out, we would need to be 0 and 17 to guarantee that #1 slot. And with a new coach, I don't see it. Unless next year you make Ricky Williams type trade to move up to get him. And who is to say they wouldn't pull an Eli and not go to a place he's drafted. Too hard to say you will get a certain player.