I don't know anything about modeling abroad, but generally agree with everything you said. And I don't want him...not even at #9. He comes with the circus of drama that seems to follow the Sanders clan...I'm not a fan of those who SEEK the spotlight. Let the spotlight find you. JMO. So the earlier poster is correct...it's partly non-football related.
But THIS part IS football related. If Shedeur ends up in B&G, I have very little doubt that he will bolt for a larger market team at his first opportunity. Whether that's forcing a trade after holding out due to a breakout season; or playing out his rookie contract as a starter and seeking brighter lights, and better endorsement opportunities from larger markets. At best, he'll be a bridge QB until the next better opportunity comes his way; and we'll be having this conversation again when it's time for contract extension. That is also my OPINION, but I think a valid concern, given his prior history. IF he is the "franchise QB" that we hope for, and that he says he is, I'd want my franchise QB for more than 5 seasons.
I just fundamentally do not believe he is of "franchise QB" caliber; and if he is, I don't think small-market New Orleans will be able to retain him. You think Daddy Prime won't be offering career advice? Daddy Prime's career is Exhibit A for why I think this way. None of us know what's in Shedeur's mind (myself included), but I think my inference is reasonable, and the concern is very valid. If Shedeur is there at #9, I'd rather trade out for additional picks. Again, JMO...