Odds to pick #1: Saints moved from 200 to 1 odds to 26 to 1; Vegas has Saints as 3rd most likely team to select at #1

Mr. Coach Klein said

I disagree. His response is what any player would say about any team when asked. This movement has to be coming from somewhere else IMO. Vegas doesn't make money by adjusting odds without info the rest of us aren't privy to. It probably won't happen, but the last time I saw a draft bet jump like this was when Kyler Murray's odds of being drafted #1 shot up from like 30 to 1 to off the board. Kingsbury was hired and had said when he was still coaching in college that he'd take Murray #1 overall if he were an NFL coach.

As far as the Watson one, we were in it until the end. They weren't wrong, they adjusted the likelyhood of it happening in real time. Same here. The chance we are trying to move up is a lot more likely now than it was a week ago. Not saying I agree with it. Is what it is.

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I agree that the line movement represents a higher chance that the Saints trade up, but I don’t believe it’s because of some secret report that they’ve gotten. I believe it’s based on the same info that everyone else has gotten recently.

Many people on this board have had the idea that the Saints were in the mix to move up before these odds were updated due to multiple reports, not just the one I mentioned. There’s been quite a few posts about the possibility. That says that the public was already privy to the idea so Vegas adjusted their lines accordingly. My point being that Vegas odds don’t validate the idea anymore than the posts on the board.

Vegas makes money off the juice and by luring in gamblers by taking advantage of “gamblers fallacy” such as line movement. Their only motive is to get as many people to bet as much possible.