Saints met with top QB prospect Cam Ward [Schefter: CLE, NYG or maybe Saints have to make an offer compelling enough for #1 pick]

AdamWest said

Everyone keeps saying this but.... how does anyone know? Attainable how? If the Saints are picking 15-16 range (or even let's just say 9 again) and the QBs "are better next year" (which by all accounts they will be) then two things happen:

1) the cost to trade up becomes even HIGHER than this year
2) teams picking high don't trade those picks because the QB prospects are better. LV tried to trade the farm to WASH last year for JD5 and they didn't budge. Same for NYG to NE for Maye, they didn't budge.

So everyone keeps bringing up that argument and... it logically doesn't make sense. It only makes sense if you expect the Saints to be awful next season and picking top 3-5 (which they could be).

Click to expand...

Let's say for argument's sake we are drafting 16 next yr. In the last 20 yrs The #1 pick in the draft that was a QB has made it to the SB , not even winning it a total of 9 times. And Peyton and Eli Manning counting for 6 of those. The other are Burrow , Newton and Stafford

Meaning that most of the QBs that have just played and not even won a SB have not been picked #1. In fact you'll find that more QBs that have been picked in an avg of about somewhere in the mid 1st rd. So you don't have to have the #1 pick to find your SB QB

So picking @ 16 we have just as good a chance finding our SB QB than if we were picking #1. And trading up from 16 to say 8 or so is much cheaper than trading from #9 to #1. PLUS this being a poor QB draft it make the guy/guys at the top even more expensive.