We have a historic reference point of what It would cost to move from 9 to 1. The true value is subjective because how the other team feels about the player is a piece to the compensation puzzle. The Bills for instance didn't have Mahomes valued highly so the cost for the Chiefs to move up nearly 17 spots was minimal. Two 1st and a 3rd. Looking back that pick was worth infinitely more.
Panthers receive:
- 2023 first-round pick (No. 1 overall)
Bears receive:
- WR D.J. Moore
- 2023 first-round pick (No. 9 overall)
- 2023 second-round pick (No. 61 overall)
- 2024 first-round pick (No. 1 overall)
- 2025 second-round pick
From the Saints persepctive you're looking at
- WR Chris Olave
- 2025 first-round pick
- 2025 2nd round pick
- 2026 1st round pick
- 2027 2nd round pick.
The value for 61 vs our 40th pick, if we send it to them would likely result in us getting say a 4th or 5th rounder back, and if not I'm sure they'd figure out how to make that value correlate. Regardless, the trade didn't handicap the Panthers and it wouldn't handicap the Saints. Teams tend to overvalue early round picks and undervalue late rounders.
We'd still have enough ammo to add depth this year (it's not like we have many starting spots open...LG, CB, maybe WR after trade) and some money in FA to sign a Veteran late.
You could also recoup a pick or two if you trade Carr at some point. Likely get a 2nd for him, especially if you lower his cap hit like you did this year.