COVID-19 Outbreak Information Updates (Reboot) [over 150.000,000 US cases (est.), 6,422,520 US hospitilizations, 1,148,691 US deaths.] (3 Viewers)

Am I the only one that pronounces it "Ahmicron"?
That's how I pronounce it. I've heard some people say it as "Oh-mee-crahn?

My wife has her own way of saying it as "Ah-mnee-crahn". I tell her there's no "n" between the "m" and "i", but the more I say it, the more she digs in on saying it wrong. I mean, it's not worth getting divorced over and I'm used to her mispronouncing certain words. She grew up listening to her mother speak, who is from Honduras with English as her second language. Melk instead of milk, "hu" sounds with the "h" silent like "youman", "youmoungous", "youmid".
 
Might we be seeing the peak for Louisiana? Possibly. Still hard to tell for sure, but the 7-day average is showing something:


Hospitalizations up to 1900, but that's still 1100 below the peak of Delta.
 
That's how I pronounce it. I've heard some people say it as "Oh-mee-crahn?

My wife has her own way of saying it as "Ah-mnee-crahn". I tell her there's no "n" between the "m" and "i", but the more I say it, the more she digs in on saying it wrong. I mean, it's not worth getting divorced over and I'm used to her mispronouncing certain words. She grew up listening to her mother speak, who is from Honduras with English as her second language. Melk instead of milk, "hu" sounds with the "h" silent like "youman", "youmoungous", "youmid".

I think I like your wife's version better. I am now team Ohmnicron.
 
Mayor Avegno just announced New Orleans is returning to an indoor mask mandate, which seems pretty silly at this point.

Possibly setting up for cancelling Mardi Gras again.
 
Mayor Avegno just announced New Orleans is returning to an indoor mask mandate, which seems pretty silly at this point.

Possibly setting up for cancelling Mardi Gras again.
Still think having a March Mardi Gras this year will end up being an advantage. I'm sure a very last-minute cancellation will be a very costly PITA for many ... but city & parish officials still have about five more weeks to monitor conditions and make a call.

I know people can be very traditional about things ... but I don't see why the parade season couldn't be moved back a few weeks. For the sake of events, tourism, etc. ... would a March 22nd or March 29th Mardi Gras be all that different from a March 1st Mardi Gras? I know people have hotel reservations and flights and all that already. But still.
 
Still think having a March Mardi Gras this year will end up being an advantage. I'm sure a very last-minute cancellation will be a very costly PITA for many ... but city & parish officials still have about five more weeks to monitor conditions and make a call.

I know people can be very traditional about things ... but I don't see why the parade season couldn't be moved back a few weeks. For the sake of events, tourism, etc. ... would a March 22nd or March 29th Mardi Gras be all that different from a March 1st Mardi Gras? I know people have hotel reservations and flights and all that already. But still.

Celebrate Mardi Gras during lent?
 
Celebrate Mardi Gras during lent?

Yes, indeed.

Well, the public parading, anyway. The non-parading traditions, balls, ceremonies, etc. ... that can still follow the usual Mardi Gras schedule.
 
Mayor Avegno just announced New Orleans is returning to an indoor mask mandate, which seems pretty silly at this point.

Possibly setting up for cancelling Mardi Gras again.



Mardi Gras starts in earnest in Mid Feb - Fat Tuesday is March 1.

I think this is a preemptive move to try and blow the curve sooner.

However, here is what i have heard from Tulane....they are already seeing a downward trend in positivity. SLIGHT but downward. I think i had posted here back in December that their modeling showed peak 3rd week of January for current wave. If that holds, then by mid Feb we should be seeing mad reduction in positivity.

So i think this mask mandate is to curb that peak just a tad sooner to be CLEAR for Mardi Gras 2022.

Just my opinon.
 
Might we be seeing the peak for Louisiana? Possibly. Still hard to tell for sure, but the 7-day average is showing something:


Hospitalizations up to 1900, but that's still 1100 below the peak of Delta.

If we follow what other countries have seen, that curve will turn and turn pretty quickly. It certainly looks like a peak to me.
 
Mardi Gras starts in earnest in Mid Feb - Fat Tuesday is March 1.

I think this is a preemptive move to try and blow the curve sooner.

However, here is what i have heard from Tulane....they are already seeing a downward trend in positivity. SLIGHT but downward. I think i had posted here back in December that their modeling showed peak 3rd week of January for current wave. If that holds, then by mid Feb we should be seeing mad reduction in positivity.

So i think this mask mandate is to curb that peak just a tad sooner to be CLEAR for Mardi Gras 2022.

Just my opinon.

The source I use for this stuff is Jeff Asher - for whatever its worth his data shows that cases in Orleans have already peaked. I think we are about to see a South Africa-like downslope.

Anyway, our city is one of the most vaxxed and boosted places in the South and we can see pretty clearly from [pick an example - DC, NYC, etc.] that mask and even vaccine mandates do jack squat for omicron. Even CDC is signaling that cloth masks are basically useless at this point. An Orleans mask mandate is really only going to cause disruptions to 2 years worth of pent-up Mardi Gras plans without any benefit to public health. Or maybe send some of those events to Jefferson Parish as happened this summer.

Its counterproductive theater. But I am hopeful that maybe this is when the residents of the City will finally say "nah we're good.' Its not lost on some of us the mayor waited until the day after her 2nd inaugural to trot this out....
 
The source I use for this stuff is Jeff Asher - for whatever its worth his data shows that cases in Orleans have already peaked. I think we are about to see a South Africa-like downslope.

Anyway, our city is one of the most vaxxed and boosted places in the South and we can see pretty clearly from [pick an example - DC, NYC, etc.] that mask and even vaccine mandates do jack squat for omicron. Even CDC is signaling that cloth masks are basically useless at this point. An Orleans mask mandate is really only going to cause disruptions to 2 years worth of pent-up Mardi Gras plans without any benefit to public health. Or maybe send some of those events to Jefferson Parish as happened this summer.

Its counterproductive theater. But I am hopeful that maybe this is when the City will finally say "nah we're good.'

Jeff's stuff is rock solid - I think I remember the tweet you're talking about (where he saw the first sign of a top).

I agree with L4S that there's enough time here to not need to jump to the conclusion that an MG cancellation is coming. I know the cynics like to think that the mayor enjoys canceling things but that's not realistic. If the chart falls off as quickly as it did elsewhere and as people like Jeff think it will, that should hopefully clear the way.
 
Jeff's stuff is rock solid - I think I remember the tweet you're talking about (where he saw the first sign of a top).

I agree with L4S that there's enough time here to not need to jump to the conclusion that an MG cancellation is coming. I know the cynics like to think that the mayor enjoys canceling things but that's not realistic. If the chart falls off as quickly as it did elsewhere and as people like Jeff think it will, that should hopefully clear the way.

I think she enjoys trying to look like she's busy doing something at minimal cost to herself. The cancellations are just means to an end. This is a re-run of delta - wait until the wave has already peaked then come in with a mask mandate and act like you did something. In this case its either going to mean a lot of disruption for MG or everyone ignoring it.
 

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