Draft study (1 Viewer)

[CHI-TOWNSAINT]

I took all of the drafts since 2000 and I wanted to see who the first picks were at each defensive position, hopefully to see if I could find out what positions, if any, were safer picks than others. See what you think....

CB's
2007- Revis
2006- Tye Hill
2005- Pacman Jones
2004- D. Hall
2003- T. Newman
2002- Q. Jammer
2001- N. Clements
2000- D. O'neal

LBers
2007- Willis
2006- Hawk
2005- Ware
2004- Vilma
2003- Suggs
2002- N. Harris
2001- Morgan
2000- Arrington

DE's
2007- G. Adams
2006- M. Williams
2005- E. James
2004- W. Smith
2003- K. Williams
2002- Peppers
2001- J. Smith
2000- C. Brown

DT's
2007- Okoye
2006- Ngata
2005- T. Johnson
2004- Tommie Harris
2003- D. Robertson
2002- Sims
2001- Warren
2000- C. Simon

Safty
2007- Landry
2006- Huff
2005- no player taken in round 1
2004- S. Taylor
2003- no player taken in round 1
2002- Roy Williams
2001- Archuletta
2000- R. Anderson

IMO, DT looks to be the hardest position to project correctly to the Pros of any defensive position. Looking at this list, does this change anyone's views on taking one of the DT's at 10. History seems to indicate that either Dorsey or Ellis will flop in the NFL.

LBer seems to be the easiest to project considering not one of the players drafted first as a LBer turned into flop pick. Napoleon Harris is only solid, but he wasn't pciked until #23.

DE seems to be right after Lber in success rate.

I thought it was interesting and makes me a little leary of DT.

 

[dat dam dog]

Nobody answed this.

OK, I'm game

"IMO, DT looks to be the hardest position to project correctly to the Pros of any defensive position. Looking at this list, does this change anyone's views on taking one of the DT's at 10. History seems to indicate that either Dorsey or Ellis will flop in the NFL."

Defense is hard to come in and do as a rookid. People sometimes think DT would be the easiest, but this top notch college DTs are used to outmatching their opponents. In the NFL a brutal Guard and Center will nail him easily.

Flops, huh?

It doesn't change my opinion. History be damned, if either is there at 10 we'll take our chances. Trust me.


ddd

 

[obwhiteo]

LB looks like the safest pick, but you also have to factor a couple things..
1.) position taken... just because they were the 1st player for that position doesn't mean it wasn't late in the 1st, or early in the 1st.
2.) Talent pool... You can't determine that all talent will be equal from year to year, some players taken 1st are much more dominate than others...
3.) We most likely won't be getting our hands on ANY of the 1st selections on the board, we are in a position to pick up the 2nd rated CB, DT, etc..... we might be able to get the 1st LB but that is a crap shoot, and also a very deep position in this year's draft.
4.) Level of depth... Some drafts are LB heavy, some are Safety heavy, some are CB heavy, rarely are any DT heavy.... point being, it's hard to evaluate from previous drafts, unless you take into consideration the level of talent..

That Said, my number ten pick would be:

ANYONE, I'M A SAINTS FAN...I WILL BACK THIS ORGINIZATION, NO MATTER WHAT THEY DO...JUST LIKE LAST YEAR WHEN I CURSED AND SCREAMED ABOUT THE MEACHEM PICK, I SUCK IT UP AND DEAL WITH IT, CAUSE I'M A FAN NOT A MEMBER OF THE ORG.

MY WISH WOULD BE:

CB - DRC
IF
ELLIS OR DORSEY ARE GONE....

 

[IceHot]

You could also pen Barnett as the LB for 2003. He was the DRoY that year. Suggs was projected as a DE/LB tweener that year. Much like Gholston and Long are getting penned this year.

What is also interesting is that the 1st pick for the last 10 years has either been a QB or DE, do you think this year will be the year that the trend switches?

Also perhaps the worst thing we could do statistically is take a BPA at 10. Look at the guys drafted at 10 in prior years.


2007 Amobi Okoye Texans DT Louisville
2006 Matt Leinart Cardinals QB USC
2005 Mike Williams Lions WR USC
2004 Dunta Robinson Texans DB South Carolina
2003 Terrell Suggs Ravens DE Arizona State
2002 Levi Jones Bengals T Arizona State
2001 Jamal Reynolds Packers DE Florida State
2000 Travis Taylor Ravens WR Florida


Perhaps we should just trade down to 11 or 12 for the real value or just pull a Vikings and wait one pick

2007 11 Patrick Willis 49ers LB Mississippi
12 Marshawn Lynch Bills RB California
2006 11 Jay Cutler Broncos QB Vanderbilt
12 Haloti Ngata Ravens DT Oregon
2005 11 Demarcus Ware Cowboys DE Troy State
12 Shawne Merriman Chargers LB Maryland
2004 11 Ben Roethlisberger Steelers QB Miami (OH)
12 Jonathan Vilma Jets LB Miami (FL)
2003 11 Marcus Trufant Seahawks DB Washington State
12 Jimmy Kennedy Rams DT Penn State
2002 11 Dwight Freeney Colts DE Syracuse
12 Wendell Bryant Cardinals DT Wisconsin
2001 11 Dan Morgan Panthers LB Miami (FL)
12 Damione Lewis Rams DT Miami (FL)
2000 11 Ron Dayne Giants RB Wisconsin
12 Shaun Ellis Jets DE Tennessee

 

[DrudkhFan]

The corners listed, are all solid players at least in my opinion.

Most of the LBs are solid or really good.

DT looks like 50/50 on getting the right guy

The Safteys look pretty good.

LB is a good chance for a really nice player,
and it looks like CB is the most consistant according to that list.