Going for 2 to go up 9 points (1 Viewer)

HburgSaints

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Why is this a thing? It’s the second time I’ve personally seen it this season. The game I’m referring to is the Texans at Titans. My line of thinking is to kick the extra point so they have to go for two if they score.
 
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HburgSaints

HburgSaints

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You're 1-4 defense lol. You should try everything not to get in OT with 4-0 team.

And +2 point conversion was an instant win.

I really don't know how you can't understand it.

You DON'T play it safe at that point, jesus.
I understand your point...
I also think it’s dumb
 

abnrgr

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It was a good decision but not a great play call. I have no doubt Titans would have picked up the two point conversion. Texans knew they were on the ropes and the best shot they had was going up by 9.
 

WxM

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93.6% conversion rate vs 47.7% conversion rate. I’ll let you pick which one to go with
93.6% at one point or 47.7% at two. That's 0.936 expected points for the kick, or 0.954 for the conversion try. The two narrowly wins out.

Either you are going to go for two, or they will. If you go for two and win, you clinch the game. If you go for two and fail, you go to overtime if they score a TD. If you kick, they kick, and you go to overtime if they score a TD.

There's zero down side in going for two. Even if you fail, you're in the same shape you were before.
 
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I like what Payton said about this. Basically, yes the numbers matter but ultimately it's about your team and that situation. As long as the analytics are close (and sometimes even if they are not), it's more about reading your team and making a decision. The analytics don't consider how your o-line is performing or if you lost a key guy to injury earlier. Do you have a play that you feel really good about?

I didn't see the game, so maybe it was an obviously bad call based on how the team is playing. I tend to not criticize coaches for this kind of stuff though. Based on these numbers or those numbers alone anyway.
 

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