ChopperSaint
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Im going to make my case on why every team in the NFL should draft BPA with no exceptions to the rule other then maybe QB.
I think the reason a lot of the non BPA people dont fully embrace the concept of BPA is because we tend to overvalue players in the college draft.
We have a serious need at OT right now but picking at 15 unless a miracle takes place there is nobody out there that will justify the 15th selection at the OT position.
Even with that being the case there are people on this forum that still believes you should reach anyway and take the OT even though the 4th best OT would be nowhere near the BPA on the board at that time in the draft.
I think the reason people feel this way is because these people are over
valuing just how good the 4th best OT in the draft is on paper.
If you had this same situation in free agency these same need people would change there opinion very quickly because the over valuing is not the same for a FA thats been in the league for 5+ years.
The mystery of a drafted rookie always tends get over valued.
Because there is always that chance you just drafted the next future HOFer.
Lets just pretend we have a crystal ball and we can project this years draft into the future.
Lets pretend that the 4th best OT in this years draft is an average starting OT in the NFL. This is exactly what he is projected to be. The 4th best OT in this years draft is not projected to be anything more then average.
His ceiling is somewhere around Bushrod.
Would you trade the 15th pick of the draft for Bushrod?
I would say 99% of all posters on this forum would answer no to that question.
But this is basically what the Saints would be doing if they took the 4th best OT in the draft at 15.
Now of course there is always a chance that a player will end up doing much better then there draft grade but you cant base a draft on the exception to the rule.
This is the very reason players in the draft get over valued in the first place because of that mystery of the player maybe being better then the scouts said they would be.
Nicks, Evans,Brees, and Colston are all fine examples of players that far exceeded there draft projections.
Now back to the crystal ball.
Lets pretend Tavon Austin is the next Percy Havin and is considered the BPA at 15.
This is pretty much his draft projection right now.
They are both thought of in the same light by draft projections.
If Bushrod and Harvin were both free agents and they had the same price tag would you take Bushrod or Harvin?
You would have to take Harvin if you had any sense.
Not only are you getting a lesser player when you draft need if it does not colide with BPA. You are also passing up on better players at other positions at the same time.
Its a double whammy when you dont go BPA.
The only way to build a consistant winner in the NFL is fill your needs in free agency so you can be free to take BPA when your turn comes up in the draft.
I think the reason a lot of the non BPA people dont fully embrace the concept of BPA is because we tend to overvalue players in the college draft.
We have a serious need at OT right now but picking at 15 unless a miracle takes place there is nobody out there that will justify the 15th selection at the OT position.
Even with that being the case there are people on this forum that still believes you should reach anyway and take the OT even though the 4th best OT would be nowhere near the BPA on the board at that time in the draft.
I think the reason people feel this way is because these people are over
valuing just how good the 4th best OT in the draft is on paper.
If you had this same situation in free agency these same need people would change there opinion very quickly because the over valuing is not the same for a FA thats been in the league for 5+ years.
The mystery of a drafted rookie always tends get over valued.
Because there is always that chance you just drafted the next future HOFer.
Lets just pretend we have a crystal ball and we can project this years draft into the future.
Lets pretend that the 4th best OT in this years draft is an average starting OT in the NFL. This is exactly what he is projected to be. The 4th best OT in this years draft is not projected to be anything more then average.
His ceiling is somewhere around Bushrod.
Would you trade the 15th pick of the draft for Bushrod?
I would say 99% of all posters on this forum would answer no to that question.
But this is basically what the Saints would be doing if they took the 4th best OT in the draft at 15.
Now of course there is always a chance that a player will end up doing much better then there draft grade but you cant base a draft on the exception to the rule.
This is the very reason players in the draft get over valued in the first place because of that mystery of the player maybe being better then the scouts said they would be.
Nicks, Evans,Brees, and Colston are all fine examples of players that far exceeded there draft projections.
Now back to the crystal ball.
Lets pretend Tavon Austin is the next Percy Havin and is considered the BPA at 15.
This is pretty much his draft projection right now.
They are both thought of in the same light by draft projections.
If Bushrod and Harvin were both free agents and they had the same price tag would you take Bushrod or Harvin?
You would have to take Harvin if you had any sense.
Not only are you getting a lesser player when you draft need if it does not colide with BPA. You are also passing up on better players at other positions at the same time.
Its a double whammy when you dont go BPA.
The only way to build a consistant winner in the NFL is fill your needs in free agency so you can be free to take BPA when your turn comes up in the draft.