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This is not a political thread, its an economics thread about how elections can impact wall street.
Recent polls have Trump and Clinton in a dead heat. The revived email investigation could not have come at a worse time for Clinton. Now I do think that could be a popular vote poll, from all I have read Trump's path to an electoral vote win will require him to win all the toss up states and a couple states that Clinton is thought to lead in.
Nevertheless, you can bet the new polls have the interest of those who make money gambling on the stock market. Its just like Vegas, if you bet against the favorite and win, you can be richly rewarded.
So what do you do with your money if you really think Trump will win? I say you mortgage the house, rob the kids college funds, borrow against your ira plans and short the hell out of the market. If you are right about Trump winning you could get 25% return on your money the first day.
A Trump's win will have the same impact as the brexit win did on the market, but on steroids. The threat of Trump's trade policies will send Europe into a recession and stocks tumbling. Who knows how much, it could be several thousand points. A short bettor will clean up. The market doesn't like change, at all. Wall Street is counting on a Clinton win.
This is not to say a Trump win is bad for the economy. it might be, it might not be. After the big drop there would be a big rally, at some point. The market will ultimately be driven by profits, some companies will get hurt if Trump blows up trade deals, others may benefit.
And nothing in the market is ever certain, there is no guarantee a Trump win causes a crash.
But for those who truly believe Trump will win, I think there is a ton of money to be made shorting the market. The money people in Europe are terrified of a Trump win. It will be a brexit dip times three if he wins.
Recent polls have Trump and Clinton in a dead heat. The revived email investigation could not have come at a worse time for Clinton. Now I do think that could be a popular vote poll, from all I have read Trump's path to an electoral vote win will require him to win all the toss up states and a couple states that Clinton is thought to lead in.
Nevertheless, you can bet the new polls have the interest of those who make money gambling on the stock market. Its just like Vegas, if you bet against the favorite and win, you can be richly rewarded.
So what do you do with your money if you really think Trump will win? I say you mortgage the house, rob the kids college funds, borrow against your ira plans and short the hell out of the market. If you are right about Trump winning you could get 25% return on your money the first day.
A Trump's win will have the same impact as the brexit win did on the market, but on steroids. The threat of Trump's trade policies will send Europe into a recession and stocks tumbling. Who knows how much, it could be several thousand points. A short bettor will clean up. The market doesn't like change, at all. Wall Street is counting on a Clinton win.
This is not to say a Trump win is bad for the economy. it might be, it might not be. After the big drop there would be a big rally, at some point. The market will ultimately be driven by profits, some companies will get hurt if Trump blows up trade deals, others may benefit.
And nothing in the market is ever certain, there is no guarantee a Trump win causes a crash.
But for those who truly believe Trump will win, I think there is a ton of money to be made shorting the market. The money people in Europe are terrified of a Trump win. It will be a brexit dip times three if he wins.