- Jul 8, 2001
- Reaction score
- Bellingham, WA
Now there could be three different victors with a drawn-out nomination battle and increasingly fractured party. Kos must be rejoicing.
That's funny. The few times that I heard him talk in passing on TV, he was making big promises that he couldn't possibly keep. That gives him a 6 point win in his birth state?
Actually, that's also what the Republican base is hoping for.. a Clinton nomination will assure that a Republican will be elected president.
And Hillary has the nomination locked up... take it to the bank. She has the money and the ability to get the vote out for her.
If McCain gets the nod then he beats Clinton or Obama
If Huckabee gets the nod then Clinton wins, and Obama might
If Romney gets the nod then Clinton and Obama have a decent shot
If Giulliani wins then he beats both
If Thompson wins then I think he wins against both, but it would be tight.
The problem with Clinton and Obama is that they do not change the electoral map. Democrats have to spend more resources in "blue states" than Republicans have to spend in "red states" because the margin is much less in the blue states.