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Jameis may come out and play poorly and the whole thing looks like a failed decision. But I’m betting he comes out and plays really well and we don’t see much of a dropoff in overall QB play, if any.
I´m sure there will be growing pains, since you can´t expect Winston to play in the same style as Brees, and the offense will have to adjust, but there´s a chance that what the position loses in acurracy and decision making, you make up for with new plays catered to Winston´s skill set... and the return of the long ball. I´m also assuming that Winston can stop being so careless with the ball. If he keeps turning the ball over, all bets are off.