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Ok.... I define the games for the relevant teams as follows... Should win (or gimmie), tough game (meaning no guarantees but likely to win) and could lose (meaning they play a tough team that is very capable of beating them including if the game is on the road)
1st two teams that are relevant but not really.... I'm not impressed with the Giants and I think they could lose to any team on their schedule. I am impressed with Phili so I don't think NY is a relevant team really and won't make the playoffs... Phili will win the east with only one team from that Division going to the Dance....
- New York - Jac, Was, at Min, Phi, at GB, at Was
No should wins, all tough games with GB and Phi being should lose games) I almost didn't even put them in this discussion..
Philadelphia - at Chi, Hou, at Dal, at NYG, Min, Dal
- They don't have any gimme games, two tough games with at Dal and at NYG and no could lose games... I think Philadelphia is the strongest threat to the Saints...
- Seattle - Winner of the west by default...
Now the relevant teams.
*** Our boys... THE New Orleans Saints: Dal (won) at Cin, Stl, at Blt, at Atl, TB
- Cin and Stl are gimme games and I know people will give me crap but I think TB at home is a gimme game as well if the Saints actually need the win in the season finally. Atl and Blt on the road are could lose games and Dal (won) as the tough game... So that's 2 tough games and 3 gimme games.
*** Atlanta: GB, at TB, Car, at Sea, NO, Car
- GB, NO and at TB are "could lose" games... I consider at Seattle on a cross country trip a "tough game" for the birds and a gimme with Carolina coming to their place...
*** Tampa Bay: at Blt, Atl, at Was, Det, Sea, at NO
- I think TB is solid enough to beat the bad team and compete with the average teams but not beat complete teams... 3 could lose games and 1 gimme with Seattle but with a team like TB, no game is a "gimme" but more of a "gimme" team they're playing...
**** Looking at the Schedules, I easily see the Saints over taking the Falcons and I see the Falcons lose Sunday...
*** Chicago: Phi, at Det, NE, Min, NYJ, at GB
- Like the Giants, I have no respect for them and fully expect GB to take that division over... I actually have more respect for the Giants. They will lose to Phi, NE, NYJ and at GB with a tough game at Det...
*** Green Bay: at Atl, SF, at Det, at NE, NYG, Chi
- GB's schedule isn't easy either... 3 "Could Lose" at Atl, NE, NYG, 2 "tough games" at Det and Chi and a gimme at SF....
As I see it...
West: Sea 8-8 or something... IDK or care...
Central: Green Bay 11-5
East: Philadelphia 12-4
South: New Orleans 12-4
Wild Cards:
Atlanta: 11-5
Tampa Bay: 10-6
When trying to pick the last wild card, I was actually trying to choose between Chicago and New York but after looking at their schedule I went back to the Standings and realize that based on schedule, I have more faith that TB can win 3 games then Chi Town win 3 and the City that Never Sleeps can win 4...
I have a hard time calling teams "gimme" or "should win" or what ever so before someone starts a debate on how I categorized the schedule, please take it with which the spirit was intended..
1st two teams that are relevant but not really.... I'm not impressed with the Giants and I think they could lose to any team on their schedule. I am impressed with Phili so I don't think NY is a relevant team really and won't make the playoffs... Phili will win the east with only one team from that Division going to the Dance....
- New York - Jac, Was, at Min, Phi, at GB, at Was
No should wins, all tough games with GB and Phi being should lose games) I almost didn't even put them in this discussion..
Philadelphia - at Chi, Hou, at Dal, at NYG, Min, Dal
- They don't have any gimme games, two tough games with at Dal and at NYG and no could lose games... I think Philadelphia is the strongest threat to the Saints...
- Seattle - Winner of the west by default...
Now the relevant teams.
*** Our boys... THE New Orleans Saints: Dal (won) at Cin, Stl, at Blt, at Atl, TB
- Cin and Stl are gimme games and I know people will give me crap but I think TB at home is a gimme game as well if the Saints actually need the win in the season finally. Atl and Blt on the road are could lose games and Dal (won) as the tough game... So that's 2 tough games and 3 gimme games.
*** Atlanta: GB, at TB, Car, at Sea, NO, Car
- GB, NO and at TB are "could lose" games... I consider at Seattle on a cross country trip a "tough game" for the birds and a gimme with Carolina coming to their place...
*** Tampa Bay: at Blt, Atl, at Was, Det, Sea, at NO
- I think TB is solid enough to beat the bad team and compete with the average teams but not beat complete teams... 3 could lose games and 1 gimme with Seattle but with a team like TB, no game is a "gimme" but more of a "gimme" team they're playing...
**** Looking at the Schedules, I easily see the Saints over taking the Falcons and I see the Falcons lose Sunday...
*** Chicago: Phi, at Det, NE, Min, NYJ, at GB
- Like the Giants, I have no respect for them and fully expect GB to take that division over... I actually have more respect for the Giants. They will lose to Phi, NE, NYJ and at GB with a tough game at Det...
*** Green Bay: at Atl, SF, at Det, at NE, NYG, Chi
- GB's schedule isn't easy either... 3 "Could Lose" at Atl, NE, NYG, 2 "tough games" at Det and Chi and a gimme at SF....
As I see it...
West: Sea 8-8 or something... IDK or care...
Central: Green Bay 11-5
East: Philadelphia 12-4
South: New Orleans 12-4
Wild Cards:
Atlanta: 11-5
Tampa Bay: 10-6
When trying to pick the last wild card, I was actually trying to choose between Chicago and New York but after looking at their schedule I went back to the Standings and realize that based on schedule, I have more faith that TB can win 3 games then Chi Town win 3 and the City that Never Sleeps can win 4...
I have a hard time calling teams "gimme" or "should win" or what ever so before someone starts a debate on how I categorized the schedule, please take it with which the spirit was intended..