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Wow! You threw Menshew in there. I like the guy but seriously?My Brady Theory:
He's got enough Super Bowl wins that his legacy as a winner is maxed out. He could go 16-0 with Tampa or 0-16 and it won't affect his winning legacy.
But he *really cares* about retiring with the all-time passing yards and TDs records. Whoever has those records out of the Manning/Brady/Brees generation will hold those records for a while. Eventually Mahomes or Burrow or Minshew II will end up passing them. But that's a generation away.
But, of course, it conflicts with his "all Brady cares about is winning" image to admit that he cares as much as he does about his individual numbers. So he can't be open about it.
So here's my conspiracy theory. Brady and the Bucs have entered into a marriage of convenience. Brady signs with the Bucs (and convinces Gronkowisk to come along), and the team sells a bunch more tickets and jerseys. In exchange, Arians has promised Brady that he'll let him just chuck it up all day. Wins and losses don't really matter. The sole focus of the Bucs offense will be getting Brady the records.
If this season is cancelled, all that goes away. He care more about the records than about health and safety.