New Orleans/Atlanta Playoff Scenerio? (1 Viewer)

Yingers

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Looking at the Yahoo playoff generator, if we beat Atlanta and neither of us lose any other game, they have Atlanta winning the division.

It looks like we will need to run the table and have Atlanta lose at least one more game (besides the Saints). Atlanta has 2 against Carolina, @ Tampa, @Seattle and us. That doesn't look to promising for 2 losses.

Does anyone have the tie-breaker which gives them the nod if we end up even in our W/L record?
 

SuperSaint

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All I know is that our December schedule is brutal. We just have to take care of our business.

It sucks to think that shanked FG against ATL might cost us the division, though...
 

NewOrleansBoy

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If we don't win division, then that's ok.

We just need to root for the Bears and the Ravens to win today. Because this will drop Eagles to the sixth seed, and move the Giants up to the second seed. All in all, if this happens, then the Falcons will eventually play the Eagles, who they struggle against.

So, this is the best scenerio we need to hope happens however way possible:

1. Falcons
2. Giants
3. Bears
4. Seahawks
5. Saints
6. Eagles

We play the Seahawks and then the Giants...much easier.

Edit: Now, that's granted, if Falcons win every game except against us

Edt Again: Ok..I'm kind of confused if the Bears win...do they move to the 2nd seed? oh boy...this is confusing
 
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Yingers

Yingers

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If we end up as a wildcard, I can't decide which of these other teams I would want to win because of where we would have to play. As a wildcard we would most likely play the NFC West winner. We should be able to handle them.

But all the other teams in the North and East are cold weather stadiums. Green Bay may not be so bad because they can't run the ball, but who knows.
 

thefifthwall

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All I know is that our December schedule is brutal. We just have to take care of our business.

It sucks to think that shanked FG against ATL might cost us the division, though...
When you lose a game to Cleveland & Arizona shanking a kick in the Altanta wasn't your only problem.

Lack of fire was more like it
 

ThibodauxSaint

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Does anyone have the tie-breaker which gives them the nod if we end up even in our W/L record?

I'm not 100% sure but I think the tiebreaker would be record vs. same opponents. If we win out and atlanta wins all their games except against the Saints, we would have identical overall records, identical divisional records and the same conference record. Our losses to Cleveland and Arizona would give them the division. I could be wrong, I'm not fully familiar with the tiebreaking order but boy it would really emphasize that you have to win the games you're supposed to win.
 

Cajun Chat

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All I know is that our December schedule is brutal. We just have to take care of our business.

It sucks to think that shanked FG against ATL might cost us the division, though...

It's hard to believe a play in week 3 could possibly cost you the division and homefield advantage throughout the playoffs. That's why division games are critical.

Ultimately, I don't see that costing us. I think we have a very difficult schedule: Rams, @Balt, @ ATL and home to Tampa. If we came through those 4 games unbeaten I'd be surprised.
 

RockyMtnSaint

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Does anyone have the tie-breaker which gives them the nod if we end up even in our W/L record?
I believe it's common opponent record. Tie breaker goes:

  1. Head-to-head
  2. Division record
  3. Record against common opponents
  4. Conference record
  5. Strength of victory
  6. etc.
It was our loss against Arizona that cost us.
 

mid-city fan

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I'm not 100% sure but I think the tiebreaker would be record vs. same opponents. If we win out and atlanta wins all their games except against the Saints, we would have identical overall records, identical divisional records and the same conference record. Our losses to Cleveland and Arizona would give them the division. I could be wrong, I'm not fully familiar with the tiebreaking order but boy it would really emphasize that you have to win the games you're supposed to win.

You are correct. If both teams win out, except for the Saints winning at Atlanta, then the operative tie-breaker would be record against common opponents. Atlanta would have a common opponent record of 12-2 (losses to N.O. and Pittsburgh), and we would have a common opponent record of 11-3 (losses to Atlanta, Arizona, and Cleveland).

I think it's a little pre-mature to start worying about that, though. There's a lot of football left, but it is interesting to know.
 

ColGorgeSaint

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Atlanta has their next three on the road: @ Tampa, @ Carolina, @ Seattle, then come home against us and Carolina. That's a tough stretch considering the travel, then coming home to face us. I'm hopeful that they'll blow a couple of those. They are Atlanta afterall.
 

bradman1965

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I think the hand wringing over a 13-3 tiebreaker is premature. I'm not sure how it plays out, but I think the chances of both teams winning and losing out to that identical record is less then the chances of the Saints repeating. Crazy, unexpected things happen in the NFL somebody will lose a head scratcher.
 

Saint Brees

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It sucks to think that shanked FG against ATL might cost us the division, though...
We shanked ourselves by playing down to the level of trash like Arizona and Cleveland.
 

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