New Orleans Saints Projected to Take the NFC and Go to The Super Bowl (1 Viewer)

Scout NFL Team Outlook 2019
By Scout Staff


After two heart wrenching playoff losses the Saints are still well positioned to have the best record in the NFC, home field advantage in the playoffs and ultimately win the NFC. They have a 27 percent to 21 percent edge over the Rams to win the NFC.

They won more than their current neutral win simulation percentage warrants and the Saints could take a step back next season. Their current odds to win Super Bowl 54 are 8/1, 11.1%. Based on simulations they are a good bet to win the Super Bowl with a 13.7% chance. They are also a good bet to win the conference with a 26.4% chance at 4/1, 20%.

Their 13 wins in 2018 exceeded expectations. It was +2.1 above what oddsmakers' money line projected. The season went much better than expected. Their strength was in road games. They went 7-1 on the road and were expected to win 5. They won 6 at home and were expected to win 5.8. Anyone who backed the Saints in all of their games on the money line would have earned a +49 unit profit at a 100 per game risk. ...

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Andrus Whitewing


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