Official Week 7 Betting Thread (1 Viewer)

Early games

Colts -1 3 units
Falcons +4 3 units
Vikings ML 2 units

1H parlay for fun. 1/4 unit pays 1.5

Vikings ML
Packers ML
49ers ML
Falcons +2.5
 
Falcons are on my leans. Just not positive about adding yet.
 
Adding Falcons +3.5 to make it an even 4 early plays.

Looking at late afternoon games, Tennessee -2.5 makes zero sense, which is why it's probably a good play. I like Baltimore still as well. But no plays until noon games are done.
 
Just 2 early plays

Lions +2.5
Falcons +3

I actually like Seattle later on, but goes against the majority on here so given my record this season I might leave that one alone.
 
Jumped on Raiders before kick off.
 
Wish teams just keep attacking the Packers run defense.

Teams keep playing themselves by trying to be balanced.
 
Falcon putting themselves in a bad analyatical position. I hope for a Rams three and out. I hope to leverage a live PK line.
 
I think I'm gonna settle on my small bet on Rams at - 2.5. Was trying to get a larger PK line, but it looks like Falcon 3rd defense is still awful not as awful as the Rams kicker.
 
Man am I glad I ididn't play the Giants. I had them as a lean on Friday.

17-0 Arizona right now. Public gonna get slaughtered in that one.
 
And there goes the analytical advantage in the Falcon +3.5.

The Art of Scoring in the variables in a 1 FG game is a bit mind blowing and I've never seen a team fold up shop to a 4 point deficit like the Falcons.

It's why I usually take the hit and push the line to +4 on a +3.5. 4 point defeat are way too common for my comfort. Especially, when the Avg FG to TD ratio hovers around 1.5..
 
Man am I glad I ididn't play the Giants. I had them as a lean on Friday.

17-0 Arizona right now. Public gonna get slaughtered in that one.
Arizona gets another TD... Giant could be a good cheap play. Lol
 
Dolphin ML at +850 felt too low for team that is obviously tanking.
 

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