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Hm I honestly doubt this is just about health. Or, if it is, it should be something really serious, like alzheimer. Having a pope screaming profanities in the middle of a speech would be quite a sight, but well, it wouldn't be appropriate.
The reports from the Vatican say he's got nothing wrong physically (no illness and blahblah) but it's either that or something serious, really serious. I mean, Wojtyla stayed there even when it was clear to everyone he wasn't fit. Why should Ratzinger retire? It's just the 4th time in the 2000 or what years of history of the catholic church
If you believe the reports about the man, Joesph Ratzinger, (and most of them seem to form a consensus and agree), then he was never somebody who had the ambition to be pope. He really did accept his role as Pope because he felt it was something he was called to. In fact, before he ever became Pope, he had asked PJP II if he could resign and return to Germany to teach and lead a simpler life. In short, he never wanted all of this and at times seemed uncomfortable with the spotlight (though he admittedly grew into it). But he did it out of a sense of duty to the Church and to God.
So in that light, while shocking, it's not a total surprise that he would make this decision because he felt he couldn't continue in the same capacity and truly believed it better for the church if he stepped aside. I'm also sure that everything he had to deal with concerning the Priest sexual abuse scandal in the church took a very personal and profound toll on him. Everything from the children that were abused (whenever he made official visits, he always made it a point to visit with victims of abuse), to the reality of the priest that committed these acts, to the church cover up of it and even where his role and responsibility lied in all of it. I'm sure it took a very devastating toll on a person who is by all accounts humble and faithful and very much holy.
So what I'm saying, it's not something that is wholly unexpected from this man.