Saints have a surprisingly low projected 2021 win total (1 Viewer)

Joined
Jan 18, 2021
Messages
67
Reaction score
139
Age
47
Location
TX
Offline
Sticky Post
Saints over/under on wins is at 9. That is our lowest total in some time. Do you agree? Seems about right to me. Remember there are 17 games this year.

 

LiterOCola

Hall-of-Famer
Joined
Apr 29, 2014
Messages
7,136
Reaction score
15,262
Age
44
Location
Chandler, Arizona
Offline
Seems right. There's been a lot of subtraction from the roster, but no meaningful additions to compensate. The expectations should be lower.
 

Booker

All-Pro
Joined
Aug 27, 2006
Messages
3,548
Reaction score
6,844
Age
46
Location
Littleton, CO
Offline
The team will need to find a new identity, and I'm looking forward to finding out what it's going to be, but I'm bracing myself that double digit losses are more likely than double digit wins. Most teams that lose a longtime starting quarterback usually have a downturn while they recalibrate, and we're likely to be no different. It's not just the talent on the field that will be missing, it's the leadership and culture of excellence that Drew brought with him.

Going in our favor is that Payton's never had a double digit loss season, but (I like how saint_drago put that), a lot of that was because he had Drew dragging bad teams to seven wins. I'm expecting a transition year, but hopefully he keeps the team in contention while they reload.
 
Joined
May 30, 2011
Messages
13,437
Reaction score
21,962
Online
If Jameis takes a step forward...we could be a 10-12 win team. But if he plays like he typically plays, we are likely looking at 7-9 wins. I don't think that this team is as good as it was last year...we've lost lots of good players. So it'd be hard to predict a 13+ win season.
 

tomwaits

Frontier Psychiatrist
Joined
Aug 1, 2002
Messages
16,331
Reaction score
6,217
Age
45
Location
Pflugerville, TX
Online
I find it a little humorous that the same ones on here saying losing Brees is the reason for the low win total are the same ones that wanted him to retired. SMH
I can see it both ways. We lost HOF caliber QB either way. He's just not the same guy anymore, so if he was still here, or if he retired, you still don't have what he used to be.
 

B4YOU

All-Pro
Joined
Mar 17, 2017
Messages
3,633
Reaction score
4,831
Offline
I think 9 wins is very generous. I would have suspected and over/under at 7 or 8. We have lost QB, TE, DT, DE, LB, and CB. There isn’t enough cap or talent on the roster to say we are replacing them with equal players.
 

Goatman Saint

Subscribing Member
Platinum VIP Contributor
Joined
Apr 18, 1999
Messages
22,567
Reaction score
20,735
Age
49
Location
Between here and there
Offline
It will depend a lot on Winston. He will make or break a lot of this season. Also, let’s face it a lot is riding on Ganderson to replace that sack total. Sure, it should be Davenport, but he’s needed to hold down the benches. Who will be CB2? If Kwon comes back healthy that would be a massive boost, but, highly doubtful. 9-10 wins at this point sounds like a very realistic scenario.
 
Joined
Feb 19, 2020
Messages
133
Reaction score
266
Age
27
Location
San Diego, CA
Offline
There is a wide range of potential outcomes for next year's team. There's a chance we really suffer from the lack of depth, Jameis is a below average starting quarterback and we're 9-8 or worse (I have projecting schedules with 17 games). There's also a chance our defense is about the same as last year, our skill players on offense are healthier (and better), Jameis is actually an upgrade on the version of Brees we saw last year and we go 14-3 or 13-4.
 

saint_drago

I Must Break You
VIP Contributor
Joined
Feb 28, 2009
Messages
9,503
Reaction score
20,986
Location
West Monroe
Online
Saints schedule next year is brutal. Play SuperBowl Champs twice the AFC and NFC champioship game finalist. Seahawks, Titans and an up and coming dolphins team.

If any coach can get a team to play beyond expectations its Payton. In 2018, 19 and 20 Saints were projected to win 9, 10 and 10 games respectively. Its the postseason i worry about. Im hoping and praying this is the year N.O gets it done.
Yeah there aren't many games that look like gimmes as of right now. The AFC East could be a problem. The Jets are going to have a new look, the Bills are really good now, and the Dolphins could see a massive infusion of young talent with all their picks. If Cam is starting for the Patriots when we play them then I like our chances.

Even with all of the talent we've lost all over the field the foundation is still strong. If Jameis can be serviceable we should be a tough out. If he's good, well, who knows. This is the challenge that SP has been waiting for. You know he's been thinking about life after Brees the past few years. He knows what it's going to take to win games without Drew. I have no doubt he'll be ready.
 

dvdman

All-Pro
Joined
Jul 9, 2009
Messages
2,295
Reaction score
3,506
Offline
We’ll probably win 12-13 games again and not show up in the playoffs AGAIN!
 

eddie94

Rookie
VIP Contributor
Joined
Aug 5, 2005
Messages
128
Reaction score
323
Age
45
Offline
I’m going to use my own version of math for this… Ha! Figure, we are 8-1 over the past two years without Brees. Let’s sprinkle in the players we’ve lost and say that is worth 2 additional losses the past two years; making us 6-3. You you double that and it makes us 12-6.

It’s a 17 game season and pure luck/good draft gets us the extra game. So I say, over 9 wins making it a 12-5 season.

(All “fun” math aside, I am hoping for a playoff appearance and a meaningful game or two in January 2022!)
 

Madmarsha

I default to sarcasm
VIP Contributor
Joined
Oct 11, 2006
Messages
32,304
Reaction score
44,572
Offline
We lost one of the best QBs to ever play football this offseason to retirement... I'm not trying to fart on Saints Fans' French fries... but people need to lower their expectations this season... I am hoping for 10 wins, but I am not going to be shocked if we win less than 9 games. Is what it is.
Remind me never to let you near my food.
 

Taker597

Hall-of-Famer
VIP Contributor
Joined
Dec 13, 2009
Messages
11,009
Reaction score
20,372
Age
30
Location
Victoria, TX
Online
A 10 win season is a very optimistic on Saints hitting on their long bets to work out with obvious holes that cannot be all filled with quality talent.
 

Create an account or login to comment

You must be a member in order to leave a comment

Create account

Create an account on our community. It's easy!

Log in

Already have an account? Log in here.

Users Who Are Viewing This Thread (Users: 0, Guests: 1)

Similar threads

 

New Orleans Saints Twitter Feed

 

Headlines

Top Bottom