Saints now 3.5 point fav (3 Viewers)

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At least 7.5, maybe as much as 8.5
Your first guess is probably closer to being right.

Vegas is weird in the point value they assign to particular players. Weird in the "they have all those huge beautiful casinos for a reason" sort of way.

But yeah we as fans might be like "oh, Player A is out, that's worth a touchdown at least!!.....only for Vegas to adjust the line like 2 points, if that.
 

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Sharps have been on the Turds since Drew was announced out.
Atlanta at -5 or -4 is a strong good play.
Do you mean Atlanta at +4.0? Or Saints at -4.0?

I’ve had a pretty reasonable year to date with NFL betting, although I’ve had two 5+ leg parlay bets both die on the final leg (Seattle v Arizona a few weeks back and New England v Baltimore last week), each
costing me hundreds.

I took LSU at -1.5 this week too which I was happy with. And looking at our game tomorrow, to be honest, I think Atlanta are excellent value at +4.0, the ML and even for a small play to win by 10 points or more. I’m always looking for inefficiencies in markets and if I was pricing this game I’d have it pretty close to 50:50, but the odds at the minute have the Saints closer to 80%. With a guy starting who has thrown for 200 career yards at QB.

The Falcons are 3-1 under Morris now. As much as we all want him to do well, Hill is a high-risk proposition and an unknown quantity. Honestly I think the wheels could fall off tomorrow. I can get $10 for every $1 for the Falcons to win by over 10. I think that price is wrong and I’m going to have a small wager on it.
 

birdog

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I expect a very close game....16-13 Saints.....historically these 2 teams play close games every year, this time around it might be even closer....I'll take the clowns + 3.5 points
 

rob22278

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I expect a very close game....16-13 Saints.....historically these 2 teams play close games every year, this time around it might be even closer....I'll take the clowns + 3.5 points
If you expect 16-13, the total under 49 is a much better option than the side
 

Analyze This

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Do you mean Atlanta at +4.0? Or Saints at -4.0?

I’ve had a pretty reasonable year to date with NFL betting, although I’ve had two 5+ leg parlay bets both die on the final leg (Seattle v Arizona a few weeks back and New England v Baltimore last week), each
costing me hundreds.

I took LSU at -1.5 this week too which I was happy with. And looking at our game tomorrow, to be honest, I think Atlanta are excellent value at +4.0, the ML and even for a small play to win by 10 points or more. I’m always looking for inefficiencies in markets and if I was pricing this game I’d have it pretty close to 50:50, but the odds at the minute have the Saints closer to 80%. With a guy starting who has thrown for 200 career yards at QB.

The Falcons are 3-1 under Morris now. As much as we all want him to do well, Hill is a high-risk proposition and an unknown quantity. Honestly I think the wheels could fall off tomorrow. I can get $10 for every $1 for the Falcons to win by over 10. I think that price is wrong and I’m going to have a small wager on it.
Atlanta +4 or +5, thanks for catching my error.
I agree with all that you said. Especially: “the wheels could fall off”. Atlanta can score, if we get behind early...
 

Analyze This

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I expect a very close game....16-13 Saints.....historically these 2 teams play close games every year, this time around it might be even closer....I'll take the clowns + 3.5 points
I’m more confident in the over. Defense has played well but holding ATL to 13 will be difficult.
 

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