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This is for those who want to go to the casino and make bets on the win-loss totals for teams.
The most overrated:
1. Tampa--This is the year Brady looks his age, especially given the preseason losses in the offensive line and the very recent injury to center Ryan Jensen. The weakness of the division will inflate a bit Tampa's wins number, but people who think that Tampa is one of the league's best teams and that Brady in 2022 in a better quarterback than Burrow and Hebert are crazy.
2. Las Vegas--Adams is certainly a major addition, but the Raiders point differential in 2021 (points scored minus points given up) was a shockingly minus 65 points, and there is nothing outstanding about the Raiders' offensive line line or defense.
The most underrated:
1. Indianapolis--People are expecting improvement because of Matt Ryan, but the Colts' point differential in 2021 was a plus 86--the seventh best in the league, and better than the point-differential for Green Bay (plus 79) and Cincinnati (plus 84), and comparable to Green Bay's (plus 88).
2. New England--It seems that most are writing off the Patriots in 2022. But in 2021, their point differential was--I was shocked--a positive 159, which was third-best in the NFL.
3. New Orleans--It all hinges on reasonably decent health and Winston. If Winston can play reasonably well, the Saints will make the playoffs and win their division.
4. Denver--In 2022, Denver at 7-10 had a point differential of positive 33. which means the record should have been 9-8. I think Wilson makes a big difference in the second-best team in the NFL's toughest division.
The most overrated:
1. Tampa--This is the year Brady looks his age, especially given the preseason losses in the offensive line and the very recent injury to center Ryan Jensen. The weakness of the division will inflate a bit Tampa's wins number, but people who think that Tampa is one of the league's best teams and that Brady in 2022 in a better quarterback than Burrow and Hebert are crazy.
2. Las Vegas--Adams is certainly a major addition, but the Raiders point differential in 2021 (points scored minus points given up) was a shockingly minus 65 points, and there is nothing outstanding about the Raiders' offensive line line or defense.
The most underrated:
1. Indianapolis--People are expecting improvement because of Matt Ryan, but the Colts' point differential in 2021 was a plus 86--the seventh best in the league, and better than the point-differential for Green Bay (plus 79) and Cincinnati (plus 84), and comparable to Green Bay's (plus 88).
2. New England--It seems that most are writing off the Patriots in 2022. But in 2021, their point differential was--I was shocked--a positive 159, which was third-best in the NFL.
3. New Orleans--It all hinges on reasonably decent health and Winston. If Winston can play reasonably well, the Saints will make the playoffs and win their division.
4. Denver--In 2022, Denver at 7-10 had a point differential of positive 33. which means the record should have been 9-8. I think Wilson makes a big difference in the second-best team in the NFL's toughest division.
