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Just finished the Xfinity race. Holy crap that run and move Ty Gibbs put on the 39 to take win was impressive. He's got two wins already. I think guessed the over/under was 4 and I'd probably take the over. Looking so strong (not surprising either).
I think the base case is that he stays in Xfinity one more year, through 2023 - which isn't bad, he's 19 now and two years in Xfinity is totally fine. But what if he wins 7 or more races? Is there pressure on JGR to bring him up?
And whether he comes up for 2023 or 2024, where does he go? I think a lot of it depends on Denny. I wouldn't be surprised to see Denny go to the 45 either next year or the year after, opening up the 11 for Ty Gibbs. Other options would be the 21 or 20, depending on how those guys were doing.
But either way, Ty will be in Cup by 2024, and that means one of those three guys (Denny, CBell, or Harrison) is out of their seat. I don't see Kyle moving just yet.
I think the base case is that he stays in Xfinity one more year, through 2023 - which isn't bad, he's 19 now and two years in Xfinity is totally fine. But what if he wins 7 or more races? Is there pressure on JGR to bring him up?
And whether he comes up for 2023 or 2024, where does he go? I think a lot of it depends on Denny. I wouldn't be surprised to see Denny go to the 45 either next year or the year after, opening up the 11 for Ty Gibbs. Other options would be the 21 or 20, depending on how those guys were doing.
But either way, Ty will be in Cup by 2024, and that means one of those three guys (Denny, CBell, or Harrison) is out of their seat. I don't see Kyle moving just yet.