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I would have been concerned about an alpha hurricane, but this will just be a beta one.
It will probably just end up in the friend zone. While some other storm is sticking it to us.
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I would have been concerned about an alpha hurricane, but this will just be a beta one.
Beta can kiss my arse. I'm freaking exhausted.
Thanks, trying to find the will needed to do another slow progressing storm. Between Laura and Sally I went to Denver for the summer snow event because I thought we were getting a 2-3 week break. Instead, I ended up going down a week before Sally for prep and left 3 days after to come home, pack, drive to DFW to fly to Denver, was there for a few days. Then flew back to DFW, drove straight to Lake Charles to finish shooting areas I couldn't get to. Had to cut that short to go home, do laundry then drive back to NOLA to start on Sally prep coverage. Just got back home last night, doing laundry and about to head out again. I've had 1 night in my bed in 30 days and looks like I'll be out another week. I'm just thankful we aren't dealing with massive covid outbreaks like earlier in the year and can feel somewhat safe enough to sleep in hotels. Reminds me of the 2005 season, thankfully we haven't had the "Katrina" yet this season and hopefully we wont.Outstanding work Brandon. Top shelf.
See I'm the opposite. I think weather would be more accessible if we named everything. "We have cold front Franz approaching from the north arriving Tuesday. Until then, expect light breeze Alice to pass over and clouds Sven, Gary, and Lucy will be in the area.".
It's much more friendly.
Yes, but no. I'd rather deal with hurricanes, tornadoes and volcanoes than employees, absolutely no offense intended. lolAre you doing all of those for your job? If so, are you hiring?
Brandon, you must be exhausted. You're sounding like Bobby Hebert.Yes, but no. I'd rather deal with hurricanes, tornadoes and volcanoes than employees, absolutely no offense intended. lol
Brandon, you must be exhausted. You're sounding like Bobby Hebert.
Slow moving strong tropical storm or hurricane likely over the NW Gulf of Mexico late this weekend and much of next week.
Preparations for prolonged coastal flooding and potentially rainfall flooding should begin.
Overall the structure of the system has become better organized today, and the next USAF mission should be in the system later today and this evening to assess the intensity trends. There have been no significant track or intensity chances since earlier this morning.
Impacts
Tides/Storm Surge:
Strong ENE/E winds will be developing along the upper TX coast later today and on Saturday as the pressure gradient increases. This will result in a favorable transport of sea water toward the coast. Additionally increasing winds of 20-35kts over our coastal waters this weekend will result in building seas into the 8-15 foot range. These large swells will begin to result in wave run-up along the coast. Based on the various factors water levels will begin rising on Saturday along the coast and reach into warning levels on Sunday. Current forecast shows at least 4.0-5.0 feet above MLLW (barnacle level) and could even reach near 6.0 feet or 2-3 feet above MHHW (vegetation line). Impacts begin around 4.5 ft MLLW at several locations along the upper TX coast.
Low lying roadways near the coast will likely flood at times of high tide and some locations could become isolated. Significant beach erosion is likely with elevated tides and large wave action lasting for several days and coastal infrastructure could be damaged. The expected tides on Sunday will likely be 1.5-2.5 feet higher than those experienced with Laura and Hanna.
DO NOT get caught off guard with the expected water level rise along the coast and understand the low lying coastal roads may be inundated for a long period of time
Rainfall:
Squalls may begin to approach the coast on Sunday as deep tropical moisture begins to replace the dry air over TX. Squalls will increase in frequency and intensity into Sunday night and Monday and begin to spread farther inland. There will be a sharp cut off in the higher rainfall amounts from south to north over the area with amounts of 10-12 inches likely near the coast and even high offshore lowering to 1-3 inches inland near College Station. Best estimate right now is for 4-6 inches over Harris County.
These rainfall amounts will likely change
Winds:
Tropical storm force winds may begin to arrive along the lower and middle TX coast by Sunday evening and slowly spread NE into coastal SE TX Monday and Tuesday. It is possible that some locations could see 24-48 hours of sustained tropical storm force winds with the slow movement of the system
Jeff Lindner
Director Hydrologic Operations Division/Meteorologist
Harris County Flood Control District
So, the track for Beta looks a little . . . limp? But what else you going to expect from a Beta?