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Just circling back to a thought on this, but if we were fully involved in the war, what I imagine we'd do if we really wanted to take the bridge out, we'd first take out their S-400s and other anti-air defenses before attacking the bridge.If they used the big ones and they could hit it, it would sure damage the bridge, but could they hit the bridge?
That bridge is protected in layers of defensive systems that would include the newest electronic counter measures that the Russians have, which would more than likely render those guided bombs way less accurate than they would be if they were going after a less protected target.
The JDAM systems are only accurate enough for a narrow bridge if they can access GPS signal, and I would doubt that they could access that signal in such a protected zone because of the electronic counter measures that the Russians have in place there.
Do you remember in the 90's there was a lot of talk about the B-2's? They could have delivered the necessary JDAM bombs in the mid 90's because no one could see them coming on radar. That time has passed. The Russian S-300 defense systems were introduced in the mid 90's and at that point their radars were good enough that they pretty much rendered our B-2's obsolete. That was a big enough sea change that we stopped making the B-2's at that point. We only have 20 of them now.
Then the Russians went on to introduce the improved S-400, systems and that was that insofar as us having an invisible aircraft. Our B-2's could no longer hide from the Russians or the radars of anyone who is not a third world power.
They are protecting that bridge with the S-400 systems in depth. With that they can keep any of our aircraft that are big enough to deliver the largest JDAM bombs out of reach without us suffering a lot of loses of people and aircraft.
I do have a thought though. Securing an intact bridge like that might make more tactical sense than destroying it. If the Ukranians could push the Russians back far enough that they'd have to cede control of the bridge, it might make sense to leave it alone.
That said, I wouldn't be shocked if the Russians are prepared to destroy it in the case of a withdrawal. Could turn into a game of chicken. Who flinches first?