Oakland (+1) 33, NEW ORLEANS 27
Let’s talk about sleepers for a second, because we hear that word often this time of year. Oakland is not a sleeper. If the Raiders fail to win 10 games, their season should be considered a disappointment. They have a defensive force, Khalil Mack, who was an All-Pro at two positions last season. They have a quarterback, Derek Carr, who put up 32 touchdowns last year. And they have a wideout, Amari Cooper, who broke 1,000 yards as a rookie. Add in their offensive line and their improved secondary (Reggie Nelson and Sean Smith were inspired pickups), and the Raiders look like the team that should legitimately win the division.
Based on the talent of the rosters and the situations these teams are in, the Raiders should not be the underdog. The Saints are favored by one because they’re home and the Raiders have been bad for more than a decade. In the next few weeks the widespread assessment of both teams will turn on its head, but for now, Oakland remains a sneaky value pick. Oakland may be the “sleeper” at the moment — but New Orleans is going to stay asleep all season.
That's a bit of an ouch.