Week 7 Official Betting Thread (1 Viewer)

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MissippiWhoDat said:
Took Bears +7.5 too. Far as I can tell RLM is 10-2-2 so far this year. Might shouldn't have counted NE vs Hou or Sea vs ATL. Both were above 60% against at one point, but dropped below 60% by line close.

<table width="597" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" border="0"><colgroup><col style="mso-width-source:userset;mso-width-alt:2340;width:48pt" width="64"> <col style="mso-width-source:userset;mso-width-alt:3108;width:64pt" width="85"> <col style="mso-width-source:userset;mso-width-alt:2340; width:48pt" width="64" span="7"> </colgroup><tbody><tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl1706" style="height:15.0pt;width:48pt" width="64" height="20">Pick</td> <td class="xl1706" style="width:64pt" width="85">Against</td> <td class="xl1706" style="width:48pt" width="64">
</td> <td class="xl1706" style="width:48pt" width="64">% against</td> <td class="xl1706" style="width:48pt" width="64">Open</td> <td class="xl1706" style="width:48pt" width="64">Close</td> <td class="xl1706" colspan="2" style="mso-ignore:colspan;width:96pt" width="128">Line movement</td> <td class="xl1706" style="width:48pt" width="64">W/L</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl1707" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Week 1</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td style="height:15.0pt" height="20">DET</td> <td>Indy</td> <td>
</td> <td align="right">76</td> <td align="right">5</td> <td align="right">2.5</td> <td align="right">2.5</td> <td>
</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Wash</td> <td>Pitt</td> <td>
</td> <td align="right">70</td> <td align="right">3</td> <td align="right">2.5</td> <td align="right">0.5</td> <td>
</td> <td>L</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl1707" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Week 2</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td style="height:15.0pt" height="20">MIN</td> <td>GB</td> <td>
</td> <td align="right">78</td> <td align="right">3</td> <td align="right">2</td> <td align="right">1</td> <td>
</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl1707" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Week 3</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl1706" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">NE</td> <td class="xl1706">Hou</td> <td class="xl1706">
</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">58</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">2.5</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">-1</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">3.5</td> <td class="xl1706">
</td> <td class="xl1706">W</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Balt</td> <td>Jax</td> <td>
</td> <td align="right">62</td> <td>PK</td> <td align="right">-2</td> <td align="right">2</td> <td>
</td> <td>P</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Wash</td> <td>NYG</td> <td>
</td> <td align="right">65</td> <td align="right">4.5</td> <td align="right">3.5</td> <td align="right">1</td> <td>
</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Det</td> <td>GB</td> <td>
</td> <td align="right">67</td> <td align="right">7.5</td> <td align="right">6.5</td> <td align="right">1</td> <td>
</td> <td>P</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td style="height:15.0pt" height="20">MN</td> <td>Car</td> <td>
</td> <td align="right">62</td> <td align="right">7.5</td> <td align="right">6.5</td> <td align="right">1</td> <td>
</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl1706" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">LA</td> <td class="xl1706">TB</td> <td class="xl1706">
</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">77</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">5.5</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">3.5</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">2</td> <td class="xl1706">
</td> <td class="xl1706">W</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl1706" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Phi</td> <td class="xl1706">Pitt</td> <td class="xl1706">
</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">75</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">5.5</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">3.5</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">2</td> <td class="xl1706">
</td> <td class="xl1706">W</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl1706" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">ATL</td> <td class="xl1706">NO</td> <td class="xl1706">
</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">60</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">3.5</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">2.5</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">1</td> <td class="xl1706">
</td> <td class="xl1706">W</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl1706" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Buffalo</td> <td class="xl1706">AZ</td> <td>
</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">68</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">6.5</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">5.5</td> <td class="xl1706" align="right">1</td> <td>
</td> <td class="xl1706">W</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl1707" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Week 4</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Week 5</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Atl</td> <td>Denver</td> <td>
</td> <td align="right">69</td> <td align="right">7</td> <td align="right">4</td> <td align="right">3</td> <td>
</td> <td>W</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl1706" style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Week 6</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> <td>
</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Sea</td> <td>Atl</td> <td>
</td> <td align="right">58</td> <td align="right">-6</td> <td align="right">-7</td> <td align="right">1</td> <td>
</td> <td>L</td> </tr> </tbody></table>
Click to expand...

I would like to understand this....care to put it in layman's terms.

Thanks!!
 
I could convince myself either way.

My college plays are going decently so far and I really like BYU late. So I'll stay on the Bears. Worst that happens is I lose a unit. I'll probably end up 2-2 tonight but if I buy off the wrong game, I risk 1-2.
 
Outbackjack said:
I would like to understand this....care to put it in layman's terms.

Thanks!!
Click to expand...

Basically, these are all of the games that I've noticed RLM on for the Pros this year. RLM is reverse line movement. Bonchie explained RLM in the first post.

- The team on the far left is the team to bet on.
- Team on right is team to bet against.
- % against column is the percentage of total bets against the team on the left. For instance tonight 68% of bets are on GB (when I checked it).
- Open column is the opening line
- Close column is the line at game start
- Line movement is the difference between open and close.
- W/L is whether the bet covered or not. P is for push (I count push on these as win or loss by 0.5 depending on what line you got.

<table width="597" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" border="0"><colgroup><col width="64"><col width="85"><col width="64" span="7"></colgroup><tbody><tr height="20"> <td class="xl1708" style="height:15.0pt;width:48pt" width="64" height="20">Pick</td> <td class="xl1708" style="width:64pt" width="85">Against</td> <td class="xl1708" style="width:48pt" width="64">
</td> <td class="xl1708" style="width:48pt" width="64">% against</td> <td class="xl1708" style="width:48pt" width="64"> Open
</td> <td class="xl1708" style="width:48pt" width="64"> Close</td> <td class="xl1708" colspan="2" style="mso-ignore:colspan;width:96pt" width="128"> Line movement</td> <td class="xl1708" style="width:48pt" width="64">W/L</td> </tr></tbody></table>
<table width="533" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" border="0"><colgroup><col style="mso-width-source:userset;mso-width-alt:2340;width:48pt" width="64"> <col style="mso-width-source:userset;mso-width-alt:3108;width:64pt" width="85"> <col style="mso-width-source:userset;mso-width-alt:2340; width:48pt" width="64" span="6"> </colgroup><tbody><tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td class="xl1706" style="height:15.0pt;width:48pt" width="64" height="20">Week 7</td> <td style="width:64pt" width="85">
</td> <td style="width:48pt" width="64">
</td> <td style="width:48pt" width="64">
</td> <td style="width:48pt" width="64">
</td> <td style="width:48pt" width="64">
</td> <td style="width:48pt" width="64">
</td> <td style="width:48pt" width="64">
</td> </tr> <tr style="height:15.0pt" height="20"> <td style="height:15.0pt" height="20">Chi</td> <td>GB</td> <td>
</td> <td align="right">68</td> <td align="right">-10</td> <td align="right">-7.5</td> <td align="right">2.5</td> <td>
</td> </tr> </tbody></table>
 
Hoyer probably done for.

Bears were looking decent for the cover until that. Screw my luck.
 
Packers +7.5 Live

Off this game. Gonna ride BYU later.
 
BoNcHiE said:
Packers +7.5 Live

Off this game. Gonna ride BYU later.
Click to expand...


Not that I'm on Boise, but what makes you so confident on BYU?


BYU almost qualified for RLM, only 55% on Boise, but a 2 point drop in BYU favor.
 
Alright, I've made some other bets. I've almost confused myself, but here's the rundown.

1) Miami +6.5 = Loss
2) South Alabama +9 = Win
3) Bears +7.5 = Cancelled (via Packers -7.5 Live)
4) Packers -6.5 Live = Pending
5) BYU +7 = Pending

I may try to find a live bet to get off BYU.

Here's the ticket on that Packers -6.5 Live bet:
 

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MissippiWhoDat said:
With Hoyer out? I think you're on the wrong side on both those bets. Hope you're right on second though.
Click to expand...

Nope. I couldn't be. The score was 6-3. If Bears cover the 2nd half I win that. If they don't then Packers cover the 7. It was impossible to lose both.

This game was as scripted as it gets. If Packers get 1td in the first half I wouldn't have played the Bears. Instead they looked anemic and then decided to play ball in the second half. Rigged crap game. That's why I bought out.
Both teams wanted the under.
 
Surviving Saint said:
Nope. I couldn't be. The score was 6-3. If Bears cover the 2nd half I win that. If they don't then Packers cover the 7. It was impossible to lose both.

This game was as scripted as it gets. If Packers get 1td in the first half I wouldn't have played the Bears. Instead they looked anemic and then decided to play ball in the second half. Rigged crap game. That's why I bought out.
Both teams wanted the under.
Click to expand...

Yeah, but if the Pack cover both you lose both. Nvrmnd. Too much of the vodka...you right.
 
BoNcHiE said:
Alright, I've made some other bets. I've almost confused myself, but here's the rundown.

1) Miami +6.5 = Loss
2) South Alabama +9 = Win
3) Bears +7.5 = Cancelled (via Packers -7.5 Live)
4) Packers -6.5 Live = Pending
5) BYU +7 = Pending

I may try to find a live bet to get off BYU.

Here's the ticket on that Packers -6.5 Live bet:
Click to expand...

1-1 CFB tonight with BYU +7 still pending (BYU leading 17-14 right now)

1-0 NFL (one bet cancelled, one won)

I just can't stay up for these stupid west coast games. Hopefully I wake up to a BYU cover and 3-1 on the night. See you guys tomorrow.
 

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