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I mean I don't think Josh Allen is good, so I'm not giving him much credit. Was just saying that he did throw for 3k yards in college.
My impression of Taysom is basically because in his actual QB run in preseason, he looks like the same guy that scrambled all over the field against Texas twice, which is a running QB that's given a simplified offense with a decision tree that looks like (First Read) -> (Possible check to RB) -> (Run).
He threw about 30 completions this preseason that I could find. Of those 30 completions, once - once - he hit his second read. I realize that he makes flash plays which are exciting and leads to wanting to project optimism onto him. But if you watch him, really watch him, when he gets to actually play QB, you'll see that he's essentially the same player.
I just don't see any reason to believe that at 29 years old, he's going to change from the same player he's been since 2012 when he arrived at BYU. Legitimate question - what have you seen that leads you to believe that he has what it takes to run a full NFL offense? We know Drew can, we know Teddy can. All we've seen from Taysom is some wildcat plays and some underthrown trick plays.
Now if you want to say that Payton might simplify an offense down to a 1 read passing game with RPO components, then that might be something. But I don't see that happening because I suspect Sean, like me, believes that's not a winning offense in today's NFL.
I think that you are PROBABLY right. I'm a very, "I'll see it when I believe it" type of guy. But in the back of my mind I can't help but to think that Taysom Hill is a gifted football player. He has figured out how to be a special teams ace and a tight end in short order. Everyone behind the scenes is saying that Taysom Hill is improving as a QB. So I'm inclined to believe that he's probably capable of being pretty good at his natural position. Granted, he's not going to be slinging the ball around like Brees in his prime. But he can probably be functional in a RPO, conservative offense. He's much more talented than Tim Tebow, who had some immediate success at the position. Brees has to fall off a cliff in the next two seasons, and Taysom Hill's limitations MIGHT be better.