UFCSaint
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I don't think any Quarterback is a 'Sure thing'. Andrew Luck was a 'sure thing' but injuries derailed him. Ryan Leaf was a 'sure thing' and instead turned out to be one of the biggest draft busts of all time. Peyton Manning was about as close to a 'sure thing' as I remember and he had a great career. Then there are guys like Tom Brady and Drew Brees who flew under the radar and turned out to be two of the greatest quarterbacks of all time. It's all a crap shoot.