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Very interesting analytic heavy article
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The NFL will try to conduct business as usual this week and have its 32 teams select 256 prospects in the draft. Typically this is a huge event with fans cheering (or booing) their favorite team’s selections while pundits and analysts give their opinions on each selection.
This year will have none of that and instead will feature approximately 180 video feeds from around the country, including Commissioner Roger Goodell announcing them from his home in New York’s Westchester County, due to the coronavirus pandemic.
That won’t stop general managers, coaches and scouts from poring over hours of game film, college statistics and data from the pre-draft combine in hope of finding players that can help change the course of a franchise.
But for all the studying and evaluating, the draft is more of a crap shoot than efficient talent evaluators consistently making correct decisions. Don’t get me wrong, better players are indeed selected more often, on average, earlier in the draft compared to later, but there hasn’t been a team that has shown it can consistently “win” the draft over any length of time..........
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The NFL will try to conduct business as usual this week and have its 32 teams select 256 prospects in the draft. Typically this is a huge event with fans cheering (or booing) their favorite team’s selections while pundits and analysts give their opinions on each selection.
This year will have none of that and instead will feature approximately 180 video feeds from around the country, including Commissioner Roger Goodell announcing them from his home in New York’s Westchester County, due to the coronavirus pandemic.
That won’t stop general managers, coaches and scouts from poring over hours of game film, college statistics and data from the pre-draft combine in hope of finding players that can help change the course of a franchise.
But for all the studying and evaluating, the draft is more of a crap shoot than efficient talent evaluators consistently making correct decisions. Don’t get me wrong, better players are indeed selected more often, on average, earlier in the draft compared to later, but there hasn’t been a team that has shown it can consistently “win” the draft over any length of time..........