COVID-19 Outbreak (Update: More than 2.9M cases and 132,313 deaths in US)
I posted why Sweden has arguably had the worst response strategy of the Western world. I don't accept the premise that most people catching the virus was inevitable from the start. I don't think modeling our response after Sweden would be a wise decision.
https://saintsreport.com/threads/co...s-and-85-333-deaths-in-us.424377/post-8041213
I think it is very difficult to make a certainty call on any of this right now. In football terms, where are we in this global pandemic? I would say, mid-way through the first half, maybe a few minutes into the second quarter? Some countries have done an outstanding job, Taiwan (Sorry China, I consider Taiwan to be an independent country), South Korea, New Zealand, Australia and Germany. The vast majority of Europe has done a pretty poor job compared to the stellar performers of the world, I think parts of the USA are in that latter group of European poor performers, especially New York and New Jersey. California appears to be doing better.
I guess we will know how this all went when it is over, whenever that is. I would put over as being when; we have reached "natural" herd immunity in different locals because the virus has basically spread to such a degree that it is nowhere near as easy to naturally propagate, we have very robust treatments so that the virus is nowhere near as deadly, or we have a vaccine available in sufficient doses and it is administered broadly so as to impart vaccine induced herd immunity.
Sweden is essentially pushing deaths into the present, a pretty gruesome way to look at it, but that is essentially what they are doing. If either treatments or a vaccine don't come about prior to the rest of the world getting to whatever the total infection rate becomes in Sweden, we will all be in essentially the same boat. We won't know the true outcome until this is "over" and that is still a long ways away.