Article: Vegas Saints odds to win Super Bowl Surge in a matter of hours fueling speculation (1 Viewer)

Chopper Man

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Somebody knows somethin’ about somethin’.

In just the matter of a few hours, the odds on the New Orleans Saints to win the Super Bowl in 2023 dropped on Cesars Sportsbook from 50-1 to 18-1. In the past when trade rumors or free-agent rumblings are imminent, the oddsmakers get wind of it before anyone else in the media or the general public.

Does this mean Houston Texans quarterback Deshaun Watson is on his way to the Saints?

On BetMGM, as of 5 p.m. Friday, the Saints’ odds were 30-1, on FanDuel, they were 28-1, while the best bargain among the books we checked as still at Wynn Bet, where they were still 40-1.

We shall see if General Manager Mickey Loomis and company are willing to pay the reported high price for Watson, which likely would be in the neighborhood of three No. 1 draft picks and at least one high-profile player, potentially a starting offensive lineman if other media outlet reports are true.

Stay tuned.
 
This came up in my feed and proves my point about Vegas odds. People put way too much stock in Vegas odds. It’s probably because the majority of people lose money gambling, so they think that Vegas are geniuses. But in reality they don’t know jack and are guessing just like we are. Now they may put more work in their educated guess than the average gambler, but sharps are just as good as Vegas. That’s why when Vegas sees someone that wins at a high rate they either cut them off or cut their allowed play substantially.

This exact scenario played out last offseason with Aaron Rodgers and retirement. As soon as the Vegas odds went in favor of Rodgers retiring the entire world figured it was for sure happening.
 

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