On to the RAVENS (1 Viewer)

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joe flacco - home games he has an 11:1 td:int ratio for 1529 yards (254.8/gm)
his away games he has a 10:7 td:int ratio for 1694 (242 yds/gm)

if i'm not mistaken, saints have only given up 8 passing tds all year?

he's been sacked 32 times so far

he's thrown for over 300 yards once this season, and that was 301 vs carolina.

tds to 5 different players

anquan boldin wr - 7
derrick mason wr - 6
todd heap te - 5
tj houshmandzadeh wr - 2
willis mcgahee rb - 1
15 to wr
5 to te
1 to rb

rushing:

ray rice - 231 carries for 898yds, 3.9 avg, 3 tds
willis mcgahee - 83 carries for 288 yds, 3.5 avg, 5 tds

schedule
@ nyj - w, 10-9
@ cin - l, 10-15
vs cle - w, 24-17
@ pit - w, 17-14
vs den - w, 31-17
@ ne - l, 20-23
vs buf - w, 37-34
vs mia - w, 26-10
@ atl - l, 21-26 (roddy white pushdown)
@ car - w, 37-13
vs tb - w, 17-10
vs pit - l, 10-13
@ hou - w, 34-28

they lost to cinci, which was an away divisional game, so i'll give them that one. they then went on to lose to NE by 3, ATL by 5 and pit by 3. their 4 losses have come by a total of 16 points. the record of teams they've beaten is 51-66. teams they've lost to is 34-18. they have had a pretty tough schedule so far i'd say. pitt, ne, atl all on the road. and pit at home. the total record of the teams they've played is 85-84 (50.3%)

just for reference the record for teams we've played is 68-101 (40.2%)

after this game it really doesnt get too much easier for them

@ cleveland (division opponent)
vs cincinnati (division opponent)

they need this win as well as the steelers to lose to the jets this week.

ray rice averages about 18 carries for 69 yards a game... his average per carry is down from the last 2 years. but this guy has NOT fumbled once all year, same as steven jackson last week. but look what happened to him?

stats
offense
total yards
3 - saints - 386 yds/gm
18 - ravens - 334.8 yds/gm

points
6 - saints - 25.4
14 - ravens - 22.6

3rd down %
1 - saints - 50
14 - ravens - 40

turnover differential
22 - saints - -4
13 - ravens - 0

defense
total yards
6 - saints - 308.6 yds/gm
10 - ravens - 319.8 yds/gm

points
5 - saints - 18.5
4 - ravens - 17.6

3rd down %
9 - saints 35%
11 - ravens 36%

forced fumbles
2 - saints - 22
20 - ravens - 10

interceptions
27 - saints - 9
15 - ravens - 13

sacks
16 - saints - 26
20 - ravens - 24

they are tied for number 1 in the league for defensive TDs.

drew brees is 0-2 vs the ravens in his career, the last time he played them was in 2006 when they demolished us in the dome 22-35 after our bye. brees had 3 tds, with 3 INTs, sacked 2 twice and fumbled once.

the time before that was in 2003, brees threw 0 tds, 3 picks, sacked once. he lost 10-24. lets hope he can shake off his interception-itis he's been having.

for away games brees has a 12:7 td:int ratio. at home its 16:11. if he throws one more pick for the rest of the year he has thrown the most he has ever thrown in his career. even with all the picks, he's still completing 69% of his passes.

your thoughts?
 
Ravens never get blown out and play very well at home. This game will be close and I think will come down to who has the ball last and who takes better care of the ball.
 
Ravens never get blown out and play very well at home. This game will be close and I think will come down to who has the ball last and who takes better care of the ball.

yea. brees will have to make sure not to throw picks. brees hasnt had a game with 0 INTs since week 4 vs carolina.
 
The Ravens game is a very big game for two reasons. The first, and most obvious reason, is we need to win to keep pressure on the Dirty Birds. The second reason is that we need to prove to ourselves that we can play a tough playoff caliber team on the road and beat them in cold weather. If we are the #5 seed, our first game will be in St. Louis (or Seattle or San Francisco), but our second game will very likely be in Chicago, Philadelphia, Green Bay or New Jersey in cold weather. Getting by game #2 would be our toughest test, because we would destroy the Dirty Birds in Atlanta in the NFCCG if it comes to that.

We will just destroy them.......
 
The Ravens game is a very big game for two reasons. The first, and most obvious reason, is we need to win to keep pressure on the Dirty Birds. The second reason is that we need to prove to ourselves that we can play a tough playoff caliber team on the road and beat them in cold weather. If we are the #5 seed, our first game will be in St. Louis (or Seattle or San Francisco), but our second game will very likely be in Chicago, Philadelphia, Green Bay or New Jersey in cold weather. Getting by game #2 would be our toughest test, because we would destroy the Dirty Birds in Atlanta in the NFCCG if it comes to that.

We will just destroy them.......

:plus-un2:

better get ready for cold if your scenario plays out...
 
The Ravens are much older on defense, and weaker at CB than they were in 2006 and 2003. If you want a telling stat, the Saints have more sacks than the Ravens. Not so scary anymore.
 
yea. brees will have to make sure not to throw picks. brees hasnt had a game with 0 INTs since week 4 vs carolina.

Could have sworn he threw one in that game. Or was it a Lance Moore fumble.
 
3rd down percentage ranking is off.

We're obviously not 1st in the league.

I was pretty sure we were 48 % as well.
 
Ravens Defense is still pretty good, but its no where near as dominant as it used to be. The Texans had a 99 yard drive AND a 95 yeard drive (plus a 2pt conversion) to tie the game last night. They also won the game with that pick 6.

3-4 weeks ago, I had this circled as a definite loss. But now I am feeling more optimistic. I still think Baltimore has a better chance of winning, but I give us about 40% chance. It would be a huge win!
 
TO diff -4

Ugh, we've gotta clean that up or we have no chance at a repeat. it's a minor miracle we're at 10-3 with that stat.
 

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