Patriots overwhelming Super Bowl favorites By AccuScore.com (1 Viewer)

[justdave]

Using 10,000 simulations, AccuScore generated the percent chance for a Super Bowl victory for each team. Not surprisingly the Patriots lead the league with a 31.6-percent chance of winning. This is nearly 2.5 times as high as the No. 2 team, the Steelers. The home-field advantage that the Patriots would have in a matchup with the Steelers is the key to the difference.

The Falcons lead the NFC with a 12.7-percent chance of winning the Super Bowl. Again, their home-field advantage, combined with a first-round bye, helps them lead the conference. The Saints, despite having to play a road game to start the playoffs, are heavily favored, winning nearly 80 percent of simulations at Seattle. Even though the Saints are seeded fifth, their advantage over the Seahawks puts them in the second-favored position in the NFC.

http://sports.yahoo.com/nfl/news?slug=ys-superbowlodds010410

 

[ndcc]

One game at a time, baby.

WhoDat! :evilgrin:

 

[Madness71]

Pats vs Saints was my prediction from the start of the season.

 

[showstopper]

IMO the Pats defense has not really been tested.Statisticly they are one of the worst in the league.

 

[BiloxiSaint]

IMO the Pats defense has not really been tested.Statisticly they are one of the worst in the league.

We learned about statistics last year when all the pundits used that same statement about the Saints ........ you see how that worked out! Be careful using statistics .... you can justify almost anything using statistics.

Example: The Saints have never won an away playoff game! That statement, although true, does not take into consideration there have been three away playoff games over I don't know how many years, however, I think it is only one for the current staff (Chicago). It also does not take into account that the Saints are 13-4 in away games over the last two years. Which do YOU think is more relevant to this weekends game?

 

[NewOrleansFan]

IMO the Pats defense has not really been tested.Statisticly they are one of the worst in the league.

Same thing could be said about the Saints D last year. Some might argue that we got 39 takeaways last year. Well, they have 36 this year and only give away 9 times. That is insane. 5 out of 6 NFC playoff teams can beat them in a 1 game take all but that team will probably have to play almost a perfect game

 

[Sophandros]

We learned about statistics last year when all the pundits used that same statement about the Saints ........ you see how that worked out! Be careful using statistics .... you can justify almost anything using statistics.

Example: The Saints have never won an away playoff game! That statement, although true, does not take into consideration there have been three away playoff games over I don't know how many years, however, I think it is only one for the current staff (Chicago). It also does not take into account that the Saints are 13-4 in away games over the last two years. Which do YOU think is more relevant to this weekends game?

Statistics are like guns: they are dangerous in the hands of the untrained. BTW, you post doesn't contain any statistical analysis.

 

[bornnraisedwhodat]

Make since. They are playing like the 09 Saints.